Bigbearai Holdings Stock Performance
| BBAI Stock | USD 4.20 0.10 2.44% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.46, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, BigBearai Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, BigBearai Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to confirm BigBearai Holdings' skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if BigBearai Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days BigBearai Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (7.45) | Five Day Return (3.76) | Year To Date Return (29.79) | Ten Year Return (58.29) | All Time Return (58.29) |
1 | BigBear.ai Trading at 16X PS Is the Premium Fully Earned | 01/07/2026 |
2 | BigBear.ai Stock Price Down 1.1 percent Should You Sell | 01/15/2026 |
3 | Could BigBear.ai Stock Go to 0 | 01/27/2026 |
4 | BigBear.ai Maqta Alliance Puts AI Port Solutions In Investor Focus | 01/30/2026 |
5 | INVESTOR ALERT Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of InvestorsofBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. - BBAI | 02/03/2026 |
6 | Why BigBear.ai Is Down 19.6 percent After Doubling Authorized Stock For Global AI Customs Push | 02/04/2026 |
7 | BigBear.ai Stock Plunges 40 Buy the Dip or a Warning Sign | 02/06/2026 |
8 | A Look At BigBear.ai Valuation After Cantor Fitzgeralds Downgrade On Contract And Revenue Risks | 02/10/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 32.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 2.8 M |
BigBearai | Build AI portfolio with BigBearai Stock |
BigBearai Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 557.00 in BigBearai Holdings on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (147.00) from holding BigBearai Holdings or give up 26.39% of portfolio value over 90 days. BigBearai Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.9476% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 53% of stocks are less volatile than BigBearai, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
BigBearai Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of BigBearai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.20 | 90 days | 4.20 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BigBearai Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BigBearai Holdings probability density function shows the probability of BigBearai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
BigBearai Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BigBearai Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BigBearai Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BigBearai Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BigBearai Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BigBearai Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BigBearai Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BigBearai Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
BigBearai Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BigBearai Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BigBearai Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BigBearai Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BigBearai Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 158.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (295.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.34 M. | |
| BigBearai Holdings currently holds about 29.83 M in cash with (38.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| BigBearai Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Look At BigBear.ai Valuation After Cantor Fitzgeralds Downgrade On Contract And Revenue Risks |
BigBearai Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BigBearai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BigBearai Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BigBearai Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.1 M |
BigBearai Holdings Fundamentals Growth
BigBearai Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BigBearai Holdings, and BigBearai Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BigBearai Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.2 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0587 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.96) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.53) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.55 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 457.89 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 14.07 X | ||||
| Revenue | 158.24 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 39.34 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (258.28 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (295.55 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 29.83 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.24 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 146.41 M | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.35 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.40 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (38.12 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.45) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.03 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 343.78 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (571.64 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (109.21 M) | ||||
About BigBearai Holdings Performance
By evaluating BigBearai Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into BigBearai Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if BigBearai Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BigBearai Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 297.60 | 264.54 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (3.22) | (3.06) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.09) | (1.04) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.99) | (0.94) | |
| Return On Equity | 71.62 | 75.20 |
Things to note about BigBearai Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about BigBearai Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BigBearai Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BigBearai Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BigBearai Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 158.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (295.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.34 M. | |
| BigBearai Holdings currently holds about 29.83 M in cash with (38.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| BigBearai Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Look At BigBear.ai Valuation After Cantor Fitzgeralds Downgrade On Contract And Revenue Risks |
- Analyzing BigBearai Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BigBearai Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining BigBearai Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating BigBearai Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BigBearai Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BigBearai Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into BigBearai Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for BigBearai Stock analysis
When running BigBearai Holdings' price analysis, check to measure BigBearai Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BigBearai Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of BigBearai Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BigBearai Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BigBearai Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BigBearai Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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