Bgc Group Stock Performance

BGC Stock   8.95  0.04  0.44%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.89, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. BGC returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BGC is expected to follow. At this point, BGC Group has a negative expected return of -0.066%. Please make sure to confirm BGC's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if BGC Group performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days BGC Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, BGC is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.44)
Five Day Return
(1.86)
Year To Date Return
0.11
Ten Year Return
53.78
All Time Return
(68.33)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0089
Payout Ratio
0.0702
Last Split Factor
1555:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
0.08
Dividend Date
2025-12-10
1
Earnings Preview MarketAxess Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
10/31/2025
2
What downside risks could hit BGC Group Inc. stock - Bear Alert Daily Price Action Insights - newser.com
11/13/2025
3
Is HOOD a Smarter Bet Than BGC Group in the Fintech-Brokerage Space
12/09/2025
 
BGC dividend paid on 10th of December 2025
12/10/2025
4
BGC Group Announces Agreement to Sell kACE Financial to smartTrade Technologies SAS
12/11/2025
5
BGC Group Completes Sale of kACE Financial
01/06/2026
6
1 of Wall Streets Favorite Stock to Keep an Eye On and 2 We Brush Off
01/14/2026
7
Disposition of 246360 shares by Sean Windeatt of BGC at 9.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
8
Acquisition by Mbanefo Arthur U of 5447 shares of BGC subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
9
Will FCA Benchmark Approval for Swaps Reshape BGC Groups Role in Rate Markets
01/27/2026
10
Disposition of 13274 shares by Moser Emerson C of BGC at 16.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow672.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-97 M

BGC Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  937.00  in BGC Group on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (42.00) from holding BGC Group or give up 4.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. BGC Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.45% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than BGC, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BGC is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

BGC Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BGC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.95 90 days 8.95 
about 48.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BGC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.27 (This BGC Group probability density function shows the probability of BGC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BGC has a beta of 0.89 suggesting BGC Group market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BGC is expected to follow. Additionally BGC Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BGC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BGC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BGC Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.478.9510.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.418.8910.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.809.2810.76
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BGC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BGC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BGC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BGC Group.

BGC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BGC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BGC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BGC Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BGC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

BGC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BGC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BGC Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BGC Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BGC Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
BGC Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of December 2025 BGC paid 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 13274 shares by Moser Emerson C of BGC at 16.8 subject to Rule 16b-3

BGC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BGC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BGC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BGC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding479.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments711.6 M

BGC Fundamentals Growth

BGC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BGC, and BGC fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BGC Stock performance.

About BGC Performance

By analyzing BGC's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into BGC's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if BGC has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BGC has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 6.70  6.36 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.07 

Things to note about BGC Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about BGC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BGC Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BGC Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BGC Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
BGC Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of December 2025 BGC paid 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 13274 shares by Moser Emerson C of BGC at 16.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating BGC's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate BGC's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing BGC's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BGC's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining BGC's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating BGC's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BGC's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BGC's stock. These opinions can provide insight into BGC's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating BGC's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact BGC's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for BGC Stock analysis

When running BGC's price analysis, check to measure BGC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BGC is operating at the current time. Most of BGC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BGC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BGC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BGC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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