Box Inc Stock Performance

BOX Stock  USD 25.49  0.98  3.70%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.62, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Box's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Box is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Box Inc has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to confirm Box's total risk alpha and day median price , to decide if Box Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Box Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.70)
Five Day Return
(4.35)
Year To Date Return
(11.59)
Ten Year Return
130.68
All Time Return
9.73
1
Box Exploring Valuation After Latest Earnings Reveal Mixed Signals
11/18/2025
2
BOX Q3 Deep Dive AI-Powered Workflow Expansion Drives Customer Upgrades Amid Cautious Market Response
12/03/2025
3
Disposition of 17000 shares by Dylan Smith of Box at 30.966 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
4
Disposition of 1200 shares by Dana Evan of Box subject to Rule 16b-3
12/24/2025
5
Disposition of 4612 shares by Olivia Nottebohm of Box at 29.836 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
6
Black Box Building infrastructure for the AI revolution - Earnings Surprise Analysis Watch Expert Picks Before They Rally - bollywoodhelpline.com
12/29/2025
7
Twilio versus BOX Critical Contrast
01/06/2026
8
Disposition of 17000 shares by Dylan Smith of Box at 29.568 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
9
Box stock hits 52-week low at 27.96 - Investing.com
01/14/2026
10
Disposition of 4612 shares by Olivia Nottebohm of Box at 26.041 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
11
Insider Sell Olivia Nottebohm Sells 4,612 Shares of Box Inc BO - GuruFocus
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow384.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-23.2 M

Box Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,223  in Box Inc on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (674.00) from holding Box Inc or give up 20.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. Box Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.9795% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Box, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Box is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Box Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Box Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.49 90 days 25.49 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Box to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Box Inc probability density function shows the probability of Box Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Box has a beta of 0.62 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Box average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Box Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Box Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Box Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Box

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Box Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7125.6927.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9431.4233.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.1426.1228.10
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.4235.6239.54
Details

Box Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Box is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Box's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Box Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Box within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Box Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Box for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Box Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Box Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Box Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Sell Olivia Nottebohm Sells 4,612 Shares of Box Inc BO - GuruFocus

Box Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Box Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Box's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Box's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding148.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments722.8 M

Box Fundamentals Growth

Box Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Box, and Box fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Box Stock performance.

About Box Performance

Evaluating Box's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Box has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Box has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.16  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.14 
Return On Equity 1.12  1.17 

Things to note about Box Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Box for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Box Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Box Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Box Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Sell Olivia Nottebohm Sells 4,612 Shares of Box Inc BO - GuruFocus
Evaluating Box's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Box's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Box's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Box's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Box's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Box's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Box's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Box's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Box's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Box's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Box's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Box Stock Analysis

When running Box's price analysis, check to measure Box's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Box is operating at the current time. Most of Box's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Box's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Box's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Box to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.