Ballston Spa Bancorp Stock Performance

BSPA Stock  USD 71.25  2.90  4.24%   
Ballston Spa has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0518, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ballston Spa's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ballston Spa is expected to be smaller as well. Ballston Spa Bancorp right now shows a risk of 1.43%. Please confirm Ballston Spa Bancorp potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Ballston Spa Bancorp will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ballston Spa Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile basic indicators, Ballston Spa may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
  

Ballston Spa Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,700  in Ballston Spa Bancorp on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  425.00  from holding Ballston Spa Bancorp or generate 6.34% return on investment over 90 days. Ballston Spa Bancorp is currently generating 0.1108% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4288% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of pink sheets are less volatile than Ballston, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ballston Spa is expected to generate 1.08 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Ballston Spa Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ballston Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 71.25 90 days 71.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ballston Spa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ballston Spa Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Ballston Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ballston Spa has a beta of 0.0518 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ballston Spa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ballston Spa Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ballston Spa Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1228, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ballston Spa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ballston Spa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ballston Spa Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.8371.2572.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.7361.1578.38
Details

Ballston Spa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ballston Spa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ballston Spa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ballston Spa Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ballston Spa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Ballston Spa Fundamentals Growth

Ballston Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ballston Spa, and Ballston Spa fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ballston Pink Sheet performance.

About Ballston Spa Performance

By analyzing Ballston Spa's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ballston Spa's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ballston Spa has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ballston Spa has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ballston Spa Bancorp, Inc. operates as a holding company for Ballston Spa National Bank that provides a range of banking, financing, fiduciary, brokerage, and other financial services to corporate, municipal, and individual customers in the United States. The company was founded in 1838 and is based in Ballston Spa, New York. Ballston Spa operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Ballston Spa Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ballston Spa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Ballston Spa Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Ballston Spa's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ballston Spa's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Ballston Spa's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ballston Spa's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ballston Spa's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ballston Spa's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ballston Spa's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ballston Spa's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Ballston Spa's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ballston Spa's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ballston Spa's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ballston Pink Sheet analysis

When running Ballston Spa's price analysis, check to measure Ballston Spa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ballston Spa is operating at the current time. Most of Ballston Spa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ballston Spa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ballston Spa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ballston Spa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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