Blaize Holdings Stock Performance

BZAI Stock   1.33  0.05  3.62%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.88, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Blaize Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, Blaize Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.66%. Please make sure to confirm Blaize Holdings' kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and standard deviation , to decide if Blaize Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Blaize Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
1
Acquisition by Bess Lane of 187379 shares of Blaize Holdings, at 1.18 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
2
Acquisition by Frank Edward H. of 75258 shares of Blaize Holdings, subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
3
Blaize Reported Strong Q3 Results, Analysts Bullish
12/09/2025
4
Blaize Holdings Analyzing the Stocks Volatility and Potential on the NASDAQ - Meyka
12/16/2025
5
Investors Purchase High Volume of Call Options on Blaize - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
6
Acquisition by Harminder Sehmi of 774236 shares of Blaize Holdings at 0.57 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
7
Blaize Holdings, Inc. Sees Large Drop in Short Interest
01/30/2026
8
AI infrastructure firm Blaize taps Cisco veteran to drive sales push - Stock Titan
02/11/2026
9
Aureus Greenway Holdings And 2 Other Promising Penny Stocks To Watch
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-902 K

Blaize Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  229.00  in Blaize Holdings on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (91.00) from holding Blaize Holdings or give up 39.74% of portfolio value over 90 days. Blaize Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.2861% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 56% of stocks are less volatile than Blaize, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blaize Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Blaize Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Blaize Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.33 90 days 1.33 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blaize Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Blaize Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Blaize Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.88 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Blaize Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Blaize Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blaize Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blaize Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blaize Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.437.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.357.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.667.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.57-0.56-0.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blaize Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blaize Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blaize Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blaize Holdings.

Blaize Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blaize Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blaize Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blaize Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blaize Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.86
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Blaize Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blaize Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blaize Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blaize Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blaize Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Blaize Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.09 M.
Blaize Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
Blaize Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Aureus Greenway Holdings And 2 Other Promising Penny Stocks To Watch

Blaize Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blaize Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blaize Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blaize Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1506.00

Blaize Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Blaize Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blaize Holdings, and Blaize Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blaize Stock performance.

About Blaize Holdings Performance

By evaluating Blaize Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Blaize Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Blaize Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Blaize Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 586.02  469.04 
Return On Tangible Assets(1.14)(1.20)
Return On Capital Employed(1.60)(1.52)
Return On Assets(1.14)(1.20)
Return On Equity(2.90)(2.76)

Things to note about Blaize Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blaize Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Blaize Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blaize Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blaize Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Blaize Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.09 M.
Blaize Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
Blaize Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Aureus Greenway Holdings And 2 Other Promising Penny Stocks To Watch
Evaluating Blaize Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Blaize Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Blaize Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blaize Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Blaize Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Blaize Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blaize Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blaize Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Blaize Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Blaize Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Blaize Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Blaize Stock analysis

When running Blaize Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Blaize Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blaize Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Blaize Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blaize Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blaize Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blaize Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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