Commencement Bancorp Stock Performance
| CBWA Stock | USD 16.87 0.07 0.41% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Commencement Bancorp holds a performance score of 21. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Commencement Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Commencement Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Please check Commencement Bancorp's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Commencement Bancorp's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commencement Bancorp are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile basic indicators, Commencement Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 37.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 12.1 M |
Commencement |
Commencement Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,500 in Commencement Bancorp on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 187.00 from holding Commencement Bancorp or generate 12.47% return on investment over 90 days. Commencement Bancorp is currently generating 0.1953% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.7222% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 6% of otc stocks are less volatile than Commencement, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Commencement Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Commencement OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 16.87 | 90 days | 16.87 | about 13.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commencement Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.33 (This Commencement Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Commencement OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Commencement Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Commencement Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commencement Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commencement Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Commencement Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commencement Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commencement Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commencement Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commencement Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.30 |
Commencement Bancorp Fundamentals Growth
Commencement OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Commencement Bancorp, and Commencement Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Commencement OTC Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0099 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.28 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.34 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 16.45 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.98 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 22.82 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.99 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.40 X | |||
| Revenue | 18.69 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 26.3 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 6.49 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.07 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.74 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.66 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.83 X | |||
| Total Asset | 531.44 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (644 K) | |||
About Commencement Bancorp Performance
By analyzing Commencement Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Commencement Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Commencement Bancorp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Commencement Bancorp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Commencement Bancorp Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Commencement Bank that provides various banking products and services for individuals, and small and midsized businesses in western Washington. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Tacoma, Washington. Commencement Bank operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.Things to note about Commencement Bancorp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Commencement Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Commencement Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Evaluating Commencement Bancorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Commencement Bancorp's otc stock performance include:- Analyzing Commencement Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Commencement Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Commencement Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Commencement Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Commencement Bancorp's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Commencement Bancorp's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Commencement Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Commencement OTC Stock analysis
When running Commencement Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Commencement Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commencement Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Commencement Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commencement Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commencement Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commencement Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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