Cheche Group Warrant Stock Performance

CCGWW Stock   0.02  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.46, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cheche Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cheche Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Cheche Group Warrant has a negative expected return of -0.0224%. Please make sure to confirm Cheche Group's market risk adjusted performance, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Cheche Group Warrant performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cheche Group Warrant has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Cheche Group is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow248.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-15.6 M

Cheche Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4.50  in Cheche Group Warrant on October 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2.40) from holding Cheche Group Warrant or give up 53.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cheche Group Warrant is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 15.2879% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Cheche, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cheche Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 20.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Cheche Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cheche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 88.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheche Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.26 (This Cheche Group Warrant probability density function shows the probability of Cheche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cheche Group has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cheche Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheche Group Warrant will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cheche Group Warrant has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cheche Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cheche Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheche Group Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cheche Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0215.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0215.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0215.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.03
Details

Cheche Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheche Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheche Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheche Group Warrant, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheche Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0066

Cheche Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheche Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheche Group Warrant can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheche Group Warrant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cheche Group Warrant has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cheche Group Warrant has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cheche Group Warrant has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (61.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162.45 M.
Cheche Group generates negative cash flow from operations

Cheche Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheche Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheche Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding86.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments152.9 M

Cheche Group Fundamentals Growth

Cheche Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cheche Group, and Cheche Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cheche Stock performance.

About Cheche Group Performance

Evaluating Cheche Group's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Cheche Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cheche Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about Cheche Group Warrant performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheche Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheche Group Warrant help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheche Group Warrant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cheche Group Warrant has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cheche Group Warrant has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cheche Group Warrant has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (61.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162.45 M.
Cheche Group generates negative cash flow from operations
Evaluating Cheche Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cheche Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cheche Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cheche Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cheche Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cheche Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cheche Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cheche Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cheche Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cheche Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cheche Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Cheche Stock Analysis

When running Cheche Group's price analysis, check to measure Cheche Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheche Group is operating at the current time. Most of Cheche Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheche Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheche Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheche Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.