Chaince Digital Holdings Stock Performance
| CD Stock | USD 6.20 0.32 4.91% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 4.49, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Chaince Digital will likely underperform. At this point, Chaince Digital Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to confirm Chaince Digital's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Chaince Digital Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Chaince Digital Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.91) | Five Day Return (0.96) | Year To Date Return 39.01 | Ten Year Return (95.32) | All Time Return (97.29) |
1 | ZJK Industrial and Chaince Digital Announce Strategic Partnership for U.S.-Based Precision Components RD and Manufacturing Base Serving AI Semiconductor and Oth... | 11/24/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 4470 shares by Daye Wilfred Zhongkei of CD New at 13.7827 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
3 | Disposition of tradable shares by Mcclain John of CD New subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
4 | Cantex Mine Development Shares Up 61.9 percent Heres Why | 12/09/2025 |
5 | Cantex Mine Development Shares Up 61.9 percent Whats Next | 12/11/2025 |
6 | Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. Completes US6.14 Million Market-Priced Private Placement Reflecting Institutional Investor Confidence | 12/15/2025 |
7 | Redistricting Experts Torch DOJs Race Claims In Newsom Prop 50 Map Fight | 12/17/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 1500 shares by Wilfred Daye of Chaince Digital at 6.13 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/24/2025 |
9 | Top Executive Makes Notable Move With Fresh Insider Stock Sale at Chaince Digital Holdings - TipRanks | 12/29/2025 |
10 | What CDs Gained the Most Traction Last Year CD Valets 2025 Analysis Reveals Interest in Short-Term CDs and a Yield Curve Beginning to Flatten | 01/07/2026 |
11 | What Non-Standard CDs Should Savers Consider in January 2026 CD Valet Highlights Notable Promotional CDs | 01/16/2026 |
12 | Chaince Digital to Voluntarily Adopt U.S. Domestic Reporting - TipRanks | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 16.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 3.8 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -3.6 M |
Chaince Digital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,044 in Chaince Digital Holdings on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (424.00) from holding Chaince Digital Holdings or give up 40.61% of portfolio value over 90 days. Chaince Digital Holdings is generating negative expected returns and assumes 10.225% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 91% of stocks are less risky than Chaince on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Chaince Digital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Chaince Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.20 | 90 days | 6.20 | about 73.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chaince Digital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.73 (This Chaince Digital Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Chaince Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.49 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Chaince Digital will likely underperform. Additionally Chaince Digital Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chaince Digital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chaince Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chaince Digital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chaince Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chaince Digital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chaince Digital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chaince Digital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chaince Digital Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chaince Digital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Chaince Digital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chaince Digital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chaince Digital Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chaince Digital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chaince Digital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Chaince Digital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Chaince Digital Holdings was previously known as Mercurity Fintech Holding and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol MFH. | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.01 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (4.53 M) with gross profit of 0. | |
| Chaince Digital Holdings reports about 4.2 B in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.51, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Amerant Bancorp declares 0.09 dividend |
Chaince Digital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chaince Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chaince Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chaince Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.9 M |
Chaince Digital Fundamentals Growth
Chaince Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Chaince Digital, and Chaince Digital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Chaince Stock performance.
| Price To Earning | 33.74 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.01 M | |||
| EBITDA | (2.11 M) | |||
| Net Income | (4.53 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.2 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 11.51 X | |||
| Total Debt | 7.78 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.81 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.18 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 30.87 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.57 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.32 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 3.14 B | |||
| Total Asset | 35.69 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (680.45 M) | |||
| Working Capital | 18.45 M | |||
About Chaince Digital Performance
By analyzing Chaince Digital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Chaince Digital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Chaince Digital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Chaince Digital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | -2.3 M | -2.2 M | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.14) | (0.13) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.22) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.11) | (0.12) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.22) | (0.21) |
Things to note about Chaince Digital Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chaince Digital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Chaince Digital Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chaince Digital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chaince Digital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Chaince Digital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Chaince Digital Holdings was previously known as Mercurity Fintech Holding and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol MFH. | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.01 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (4.53 M) with gross profit of 0. | |
| Chaince Digital Holdings reports about 4.2 B in cash with (3.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.51, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Amerant Bancorp declares 0.09 dividend |
- Analyzing Chaince Digital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Chaince Digital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Chaince Digital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Chaince Digital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Chaince Digital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Chaince Digital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Chaince Digital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Chaince Stock analysis
When running Chaince Digital's price analysis, check to measure Chaince Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chaince Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Chaince Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chaince Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chaince Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chaince Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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