Chagee Holdings Limited Stock Performance

CHA Stock  USD 11.72  0.34  2.82%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.08, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Chagee Holdings returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Chagee Holdings is expected to follow. At this point, Chagee Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to confirm Chagee Holdings' total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Chagee Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Chagee Holdings Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.82)
Five Day Return
(5.48)
Year To Date Return
(4.79)
Ten Year Return
(63.87)
All Time Return
(63.87)
 
Chagee Holdings dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
1
TeleAI Unveils Breakthrough Metric to Quantify AI Talent in Large Language Models
12/19/2025
2
Chagee Shares Gap Down - Whats Next - MarketBeat
12/26/2025
3
Contrasting Chagee Reeds
12/30/2025
4
Chagee Holdings Ltd Stock Price Up 4.29 percent on Jan 15 - GuruFocus
01/15/2026
5
Chagee Shareholders are Encouraged to Reach Out to Johnson Fistel for More Information about Potentially Recovering Their Losses
01/20/2026
6
ANNOUNCING GONG CHA 2.0 A NEW ERA OF INNOVATION, EFFICIENCY AND GROWTH
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow2.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-229.5 M

Chagee Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,426  in Chagee Holdings Limited on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (254.00) from holding Chagee Holdings Limited or give up 17.81% of portfolio value over 90 days. Chagee Holdings Limited is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.2242% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Chagee, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Chagee Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Chagee Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Chagee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.72 90 days 11.72 
about 92.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chagee Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.25 (This Chagee Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Chagee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 suggesting Chagee Holdings Limited market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Chagee Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Chagee Holdings Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chagee Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chagee Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chagee Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8512.0615.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5312.7415.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.3511.5614.77
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.6427.0830.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chagee Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chagee Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chagee Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chagee Holdings.

Chagee Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chagee Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chagee Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chagee Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chagee Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Chagee Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chagee Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chagee Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chagee Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chagee Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Chagee Holdings Limited has 548.06 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.25, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Chagee Holdings has a current ratio of 0.3, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Chagee to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
About 15.0% of Chagee Holdings shares are held by company insiders
On 15th of December 2025 Chagee Holdings paid $ 0.92 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ANNOUNCING GONG CHA 2.0 A NEW ERA OF INNOVATION, EFFICIENCY AND GROWTH

Chagee Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chagee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chagee Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chagee Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding183.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.9 B

Chagee Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Chagee Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Chagee Holdings, and Chagee Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Chagee Stock performance.

About Chagee Holdings Performance

By analyzing Chagee Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Chagee Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Chagee Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Chagee Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 8.24  7.83 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.34  0.36 
Return On Capital Employed 0.60  0.63 
Return On Assets 0.34  0.36 
Return On Equity 0.85  0.86 

Things to note about Chagee Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chagee Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Chagee Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chagee Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chagee Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Chagee Holdings Limited has 548.06 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.25, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Chagee Holdings has a current ratio of 0.3, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Chagee to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
About 15.0% of Chagee Holdings shares are held by company insiders
On 15th of December 2025 Chagee Holdings paid $ 0.92 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ANNOUNCING GONG CHA 2.0 A NEW ERA OF INNOVATION, EFFICIENCY AND GROWTH
Evaluating Chagee Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Chagee Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Chagee Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Chagee Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Chagee Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Chagee Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Chagee Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Chagee Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Chagee Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Chagee Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Chagee Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Chagee Stock analysis

When running Chagee Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Chagee Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chagee Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Chagee Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chagee Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chagee Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chagee Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
AI Portfolio Prophet
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges