Clearfield Stock Performance

CLFD Stock  USD 30.91  1.83  6.29%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.26, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Clearfield will likely underperform. At this point, Clearfield has a negative expected return of -0.0652%. Please make sure to confirm Clearfield's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Clearfield performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Clearfield has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Clearfield is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow14.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8.8 M

Clearfield Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,291  in Clearfield on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (196.50) from holding Clearfield or give up 5.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Clearfield is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.6822% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Clearfield, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Clearfield is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.27 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Clearfield Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Clearfield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.91 90 days 30.91 
about 26.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clearfield to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.57 (This Clearfield probability density function shows the probability of Clearfield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Clearfield will likely underperform. Additionally Clearfield has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Clearfield Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clearfield

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearfield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7430.4433.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.4234.9937.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.7229.4232.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8229.9932.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clearfield. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clearfield's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clearfield's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Clearfield.

Clearfield Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clearfield is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clearfield's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clearfield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clearfield within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Clearfield Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clearfield for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clearfield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clearfield generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 150.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 50.54 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Clearfield Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clearfield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clearfield's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearfield's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14 M
Cash And Short Term Investments106 M

Clearfield Fundamentals Growth

Clearfield Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Clearfield, and Clearfield fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Clearfield Stock performance.

About Clearfield Performance

By analyzing Clearfield's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Clearfield's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Clearfield has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Clearfield has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Clearfield, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells standard and custom passive connectivity products to the fiber-to-the-premises, enterprises, and original equipment manufacturers markets in the United States and internationally. Clearfield, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Clearfield operates under Communication Equipment classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 407 people.

Things to note about Clearfield performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clearfield for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Clearfield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clearfield generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 150.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 50.54 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Clearfield's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Clearfield's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Clearfield's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Clearfield's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Clearfield's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Clearfield's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Clearfield's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Clearfield's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Clearfield's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Clearfield's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Clearfield's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Clearfield Stock analysis

When running Clearfield's price analysis, check to measure Clearfield's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clearfield is operating at the current time. Most of Clearfield's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clearfield's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clearfield's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clearfield to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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