Cme Group Stock Performance
| CME Stock | USD 286.05 1.57 0.55% |
CME has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.035, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CME are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CME is likely to outperform the market. CME Group at this time shows a risk of 1.18%. Please confirm CME Group treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if CME Group will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CME Group are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain primary indicators, CME may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.55 | Five Day Return 1.63 | Year To Date Return 6.07 | Ten Year Return 218.36 | All Time Return 3.2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0176 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 5:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 5 | Dividend Date 2025-12-30 |
| CME dividend paid on 30th of December 2025 | 12/30/2025 |
1 | Dow Jones futures slip as traders adopt caution ahead of CPI inflation data | 01/13/2026 |
2 | Rate-Cut Chances Seem More Precarious As Fed Officials Rally Behind Powell | 01/15/2026 |
3 | CME Group Taps Data Analytics Firm FairXchange to Bring Transparency to FX Execution | 01/20/2026 |
4 | Terry Duffy From the corner of 105th and St. Louis to the corner office of the CME | 01/21/2026 |
5 | Feds preferred inflation gauge falling below policymakers forecast | 01/22/2026 |
6 | Nasdaq Moves to Remove Position Limits on Bitcoin ETF Options | 01/23/2026 |
7 | Federal Reserve live coverage Fed set to hold interest rates steady in first policy meeting of 2026 | 01/26/2026 |
8 | Fed holds rate steady as recent dollar slide fuels Bitcoin, crypto debate | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 93.1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -82.6 M |
CME Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 26,427 in CME Group on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 2,178 from holding CME Group or generate 8.24% return on investment over 90 days. CME Group is generating 0.1389% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.175% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than CME, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
CME Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of CME Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 286.05 | 90 days | 286.05 | about 1.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CME to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.69 (This CME Group probability density function shows the probability of CME Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CME Group has a beta of -0.035 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CME are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CME Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CME Group has an alpha of 0.0998, implying that it can generate a 0.0998 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CME Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CME
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CME Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CME Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CME is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CME's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CME Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CME within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
CME Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CME for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CME Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 30th of December 2025 CME paid $ 1.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Stock Market Today, Jan. 20 Nu Holdings Rises as Brazilian Banks Attract Spotlight |
CME Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CME Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CME's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CME's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 359.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
CME Fundamentals Growth
CME Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CME, and CME fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CME Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.016 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.59 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.63 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 103.13 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 359.51 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 32.83 X | |||
| Price To Book | 3.63 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 16.11 X | |||
| Revenue | 6.13 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 6.39 B | |||
| EBITDA | 5.04 B | |||
| Net Income | 3.53 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.22 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 6.19 X | |||
| Total Debt | 3.43 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.12 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.02 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 78.34 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.69 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 10.33 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 102.84 B | |||
| Total Asset | 137.45 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 4.19 B | |||
| Working Capital | 719.6 M | |||
| Current Asset | 37.9 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 36.82 B | |||
About CME Performance
By analyzing CME's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CME's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CME has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CME has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.13 | 0.17 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | 0.13 |
Things to note about CME Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about CME for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CME Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 30th of December 2025 CME paid $ 1.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Stock Market Today, Jan. 20 Nu Holdings Rises as Brazilian Banks Attract Spotlight |
- Analyzing CME's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CME's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining CME's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating CME's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CME's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CME's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CME's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for CME Stock analysis
When running CME's price analysis, check to measure CME's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CME is operating at the current time. Most of CME's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CME's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CME's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CME to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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