Commvault Systems Stock Performance

CVLT Stock  USD 88.29  0.75  0.86%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.02, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, CommVault Systems will likely underperform. At this point, CommVault Systems has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to confirm CommVault Systems' standard deviation, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and day median price , to decide if CommVault Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CommVault Systems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.36)
Five Day Return
6.8
Year To Date Return
(29.51)
Ten Year Return
153.15
All Time Return
414.94
1
Soros Fund Management LLC Makes New 15.69 Million Investment in CommVault Systems, Inc. CVLT
12/12/2025
2
Heres Why Commvault Systems Fell More Than Broader Market
12/31/2025
3
CommVault Systems to Release Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
4
Commvault Exceeds Q4 CY2025 Expectations But Stock Drops
01/27/2026
5
Commvault Systems Q3 Margins Compressed To 7.3 percent Net Margin Challenge Bullish Growth Narrative
01/28/2026
6
Commvault Anchors Nasdaq Composite Index Software Talk
01/29/2026
7
This Tech Stock Just Crashed to a 52-Week Low Should You Buy the Dip
01/30/2026
8
Commvault Introduces Commvault Geo Shield to Help Organizations Manage Cyber Resilience While Retaining Control of Their Data
02/02/2026
9
Commvault Systems Is Down 8.8 percent After Mixed Guidance, SaaS ARR Slowdown And New Investigation Has The Bull Case Changed
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow312.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-70.4 M

CommVault Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,662  in CommVault Systems on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,908) from holding CommVault Systems or give up 30.86% of portfolio value over 90 days. CommVault Systems is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.5137% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 40% of stocks are less volatile than CommVault, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CommVault Systems is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

CommVault Systems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CommVault Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 88.29 90 days 88.29 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CommVault Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This CommVault Systems probability density function shows the probability of CommVault Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.02 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CommVault Systems will likely underperform. Additionally CommVault Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CommVault Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CommVault Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CommVault Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.5587.0691.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.46103.28107.79
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
127.70140.33155.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.021.091.07
Details

CommVault Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CommVault Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CommVault Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CommVault Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CommVault Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.02
σ
Overall volatility
14.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

CommVault Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CommVault Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CommVault Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CommVault Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CommVault Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CommVault Systems has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Commvault Systems Is Down 8.8 percent After Mixed Guidance, SaaS ARR Slowdown And New Investigation Has The Bull Case Changed

CommVault Systems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CommVault Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CommVault Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CommVault Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments302.1 M

CommVault Systems Fundamentals Growth

CommVault Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CommVault Systems, and CommVault Systems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CommVault Stock performance.

About CommVault Systems Performance

Assessing CommVault Systems' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into CommVault Systems' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the CommVault Systems is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.27  0.14 

Things to note about CommVault Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CommVault Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CommVault Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CommVault Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CommVault Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CommVault Systems has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Commvault Systems Is Down 8.8 percent After Mixed Guidance, SaaS ARR Slowdown And New Investigation Has The Bull Case Changed
Evaluating CommVault Systems' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CommVault Systems' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CommVault Systems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CommVault Systems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CommVault Systems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CommVault Systems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CommVault Systems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CommVault Systems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into CommVault Systems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CommVault Systems' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CommVault Systems' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for CommVault Stock Analysis

When running CommVault Systems' price analysis, check to measure CommVault Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CommVault Systems is operating at the current time. Most of CommVault Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CommVault Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CommVault Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CommVault Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.