Krispy Kreme Stock Performance
| DNUT Stock | USD 3.39 0.02 0.59% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.54, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Krispy Kreme will likely underperform. At this point, Krispy Kreme has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to verify Krispy Kreme's semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Krispy Kreme performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Krispy Kreme has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.59) | Five Day Return (3.42) | Year To Date Return (16.91) | Ten Year Return (83.86) | All Time Return (83.86) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0413 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.14 | Dividend Date 2025-05-07 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-04-23 |
1 | Krispy Kreme outlines full U.S. delivery outsourcing by 2026 and capital-light growth focus | 11/06/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 2641 shares by Joseph Esposito of Krispy Kreme at 4.2765 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/12/2025 |
3 | Why Is Everyone Talking About Krispy Kreme Stock | 11/17/2025 |
4 | 3 Stocks Under 10 with Questionable Fundamentals | 12/05/2025 |
5 | Krispy Kreme Stock Price Down 5.4 percent Time to Sell | 12/12/2025 |
6 | Why Krispy Kreme Stock Is Up Today | 12/18/2025 |
7 | Krispy Kreme Announces Strategic Refranchising Agreement for Japan | 12/19/2025 |
8 | Zacks Research Upgrades Krispy Kreme to Hold | 12/24/2025 |
9 | Get two dozen Krispy Kreme doughnuts for 20.26 and free delivery - Stock Titan | 12/30/2025 |
10 | Krispy Kreme Stock More Promising After Deleveraging Action Improving Sales - Seeking Alpha | 01/08/2026 |
11 | Krispy Kreme Shares Down 10.6 percent - Should You Sell - MarketBeat | 01/14/2026 |
12 | Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Krispy Kreme, Inc. | 01/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 38.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 19.3 M |
Krispy Kreme Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 404.00 in Krispy Kreme on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (65.00) from holding Krispy Kreme or give up 16.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. Krispy Kreme is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.8225% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Krispy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Krispy Kreme Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Krispy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.39 | 90 days | 3.39 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Krispy Kreme to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Krispy Kreme probability density function shows the probability of Krispy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Krispy Kreme will likely underperform. Additionally Krispy Kreme has an alpha of 0.0324, implying that it can generate a 0.0324 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Krispy Kreme Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Krispy Kreme
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Krispy Kreme. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Krispy Kreme's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Krispy Kreme Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Krispy Kreme is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Krispy Kreme's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Krispy Kreme, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Krispy Kreme within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Krispy Kreme Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Krispy Kreme for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Krispy Kreme can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Krispy Kreme generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Krispy Kreme has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Krispy Kreme has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Krispy Kreme currently holds 1.35 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Krispy Kreme has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Krispy Kreme's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Krispy Kreme shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from apnews.com: Tale of two Nebraska cities Use of mayoral pardons varies widely in Lincoln and Omaha |
Krispy Kreme Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Krispy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Krispy Kreme's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Krispy Kreme's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29 M |
Krispy Kreme Fundamentals Growth
Krispy Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Krispy Kreme, and Krispy Kreme fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Krispy Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.54 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0166 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.33) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.03) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.99 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 171.3 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.87 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.67 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 350.54 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 213.43 M | ||||
| Net Income | 3.1 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 39.72 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.24 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.35 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.96 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.34 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.91 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 45.83 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (2.99) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 580.71 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.07 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (299.64 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (313.23 M) | ||||
About Krispy Kreme Performance
Assessing Krispy Kreme's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Krispy Kreme's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Krispy Kreme is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 25.73 | 18.30 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.04) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.04) | (0.04) |
Things to note about Krispy Kreme performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Krispy Kreme for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Krispy Kreme help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Krispy Kreme generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Krispy Kreme has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Krispy Kreme has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Krispy Kreme currently holds 1.35 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Krispy Kreme has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Krispy Kreme's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Krispy Kreme shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from apnews.com: Tale of two Nebraska cities Use of mayoral pardons varies widely in Lincoln and Omaha |
- Analyzing Krispy Kreme's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Krispy Kreme's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Krispy Kreme's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Krispy Kreme's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Krispy Kreme's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Krispy Kreme's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Krispy Kreme's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Krispy Stock Analysis
When running Krispy Kreme's price analysis, check to measure Krispy Kreme's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Krispy Kreme is operating at the current time. Most of Krispy Kreme's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Krispy Kreme's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Krispy Kreme's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Krispy Kreme to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.