Aemetis (Germany) Performance

DW51 Stock  EUR 1.21  0.07  5.47%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.88, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Aemetis returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aemetis is expected to follow. At this point, Aemetis has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to confirm Aemetis' variance, jensen alpha, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Aemetis performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Aemetis has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
1
AMTX Stock Analyst Lowers Target Price But Maintains Buy Rating - GuruFocus
11/19/2025
2
Aemetis Stock Passes Below Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat
11/28/2025
3
Aemetis Share Price Passes Below 200 Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
12/09/2025
4
Aemetis Secures Funds from Federal Clean Energy Tax Credi - GuruFocus
12/30/2025
5
Even With A percent Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aemetis, Inc.s Performance Completely - simplywall.st
01/29/2026
6
Aemetis Amends Biogas Preferred Units Redemption Agreement - TipRanks
02/06/2026
  

Aemetis Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  156.00  in Aemetis on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (35.00) from holding Aemetis or give up 22.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Aemetis is producing return of less than zero assuming 5.024% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 45% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Aemetis, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aemetis is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Aemetis Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aemetis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.21 90 days 1.21 
about 82.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aemetis to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.57 (This Aemetis probability density function shows the probability of Aemetis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aemetis has a beta of 0.88 suggesting Aemetis market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aemetis is expected to follow. Additionally Aemetis has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aemetis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aemetis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aemetis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.196.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.166.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.45-0.39-0.31
Details

Aemetis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aemetis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aemetis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aemetis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aemetis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Aemetis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aemetis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aemetis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aemetis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aemetis has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aemetis may become a speculative penny stock
Aemetis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Aemetis has accumulated 90.53 M in total debt. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aemetis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aemetis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aemetis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aemetis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 267.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (87.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (10.53 M).
Aemetis has accumulated about 7.17 M in cash with (32.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aemetis Amends Biogas Preferred Units Redemption Agreement - TipRanks

Aemetis Fundamentals Growth

Aemetis Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aemetis, and Aemetis fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aemetis Stock performance.

About Aemetis Performance

By analyzing Aemetis' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Aemetis' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Aemetis has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aemetis has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and fuels, and bio-chemicals company in North America and India. Aemetis, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California. AEMETIS INC operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 164 people.

Things to note about Aemetis performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aemetis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aemetis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aemetis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aemetis has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aemetis may become a speculative penny stock
Aemetis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Aemetis has accumulated 90.53 M in total debt. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aemetis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aemetis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aemetis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aemetis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 267.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (87.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (10.53 M).
Aemetis has accumulated about 7.17 M in cash with (32.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aemetis Amends Biogas Preferred Units Redemption Agreement - TipRanks
Evaluating Aemetis' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aemetis' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aemetis' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aemetis' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aemetis' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aemetis' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aemetis' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aemetis' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aemetis' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aemetis' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aemetis' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Aemetis Stock analysis

When running Aemetis' price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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