Ellington Financial Stock Performance

EFC Stock  USD 12.85  0.02  0.16%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ellington Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ellington Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ellington Financial has a negative expected return of -0.047%. Please make sure to confirm Ellington Financial's jensen alpha, potential upside, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Ellington Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ellington Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Ellington Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.16
Year To Date Return
(6.07)
Ten Year Return
(20.58)
All Time Return
(40.92)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1216
Payout Ratio
0.3741
Forward Dividend Rate
1.56
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-27
1
How Record Securitizations and Balance Sheet Moves at Ellington Financial Have Changed Its Investment Story
11/12/2025
2
Acquisition by Ronald Simon of 3334 shares of Ellington Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
 
Ellington Financial dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
3
Ellington Financial Valuation Update Following Book Value Disclosure and Dividend Announcement
12/01/2025
4
Ellington Financial Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Time to Sell - MarketBeat
12/24/2025
 
Ellington Financial dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
5
Disposition of 8666 shares by Michael Vranos of Ellington Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
6
Ellington Financial Announces Common Stock Offering
01/26/2026
7
A Look At Ellington Financials Valuation As Income Returns Outpace Recent Share Price Momentum
01/27/2026
8
Head-To-Head Survey Ellington Financial vs. BrightSpire Capital
01/28/2026
9
A Look At Ellington Financial Valuation After Common Stock Offering And Preferred Share Redemption
01/29/2026
 
Ellington Financial dividend paid on 30th of January 2026
01/30/2026
10
Top 10 Non-REIT Monthly Dividend Stocks
02/02/2026
11
Ellington Financial Announces the Income Tax Treatment of its 2025 Distributions
02/03/2026
12
Rep. Virginia Foxx Sells Public Storage Stock
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow230.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-728.3 M

Ellington Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,326  in Ellington Financial on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (41.00) from holding Ellington Financial or give up 3.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ellington Financial is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.0349% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than Ellington, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Ellington Financial is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Ellington Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ellington Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.85 90 days 12.85 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ellington Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Ellington Financial probability density function shows the probability of Ellington Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Ellington Financial has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ellington Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ellington Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ellington Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ellington Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ellington Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ellington Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8212.8513.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8113.8414.87
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.3114.6216.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.410.450.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ellington Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ellington Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ellington Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ellington Financial.

Ellington Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ellington Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ellington Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ellington Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ellington Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Ellington Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ellington Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ellington Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ellington Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ellington Financial has about 192.39 M in cash with (430.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.09.
Ellington Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 30th of January 2026 Ellington Financial paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rep. Virginia Foxx Sells Public Storage Stock

Ellington Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ellington Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ellington Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ellington Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding86.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments192.4 M

Ellington Financial Fundamentals Growth

Ellington Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ellington Financial, and Ellington Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ellington Stock performance.

About Ellington Financial Performance

By analyzing Ellington Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ellington Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ellington Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ellington Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand-15.8 K-16.6 K
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.08 

Things to note about Ellington Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ellington Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ellington Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ellington Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ellington Financial has about 192.39 M in cash with (430.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.09.
Ellington Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 30th of January 2026 Ellington Financial paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rep. Virginia Foxx Sells Public Storage Stock
Evaluating Ellington Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ellington Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ellington Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ellington Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ellington Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ellington Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ellington Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ellington Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ellington Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ellington Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ellington Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Ellington Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ellington Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ellington Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ellington Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ellington Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ellington Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ellington Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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