Sayona Mining Limited Stock Performance

ELVR Stock   45.90  0.66  1.46%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Sayona Mining holds a performance score of 12. The entity has a beta of 0.57, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Sayona Mining's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sayona Mining is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Sayona Mining's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Sayona Mining's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Sayona Mining Limited are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unsteady basic indicators, Sayona Mining reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.46
Five Day Return
2.96
Year To Date Return
(13.05)
Ten Year Return
101.14
All Time Return
101.14
Last Split Factor
1:10
Last Split Date
2025-09-16
1
Elevra Lithium Quarterly Activities Report
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow90.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-49.6 M

Sayona Mining Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,969  in Sayona Mining Limited on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,621  from holding Sayona Mining Limited or generate 54.6% return on investment over 90 days. Sayona Mining Limited is currently generating 0.8607% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.5735% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 50% of stocks are less volatile than Sayona, and 83% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sayona Mining is expected to generate 6.91 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Sayona Mining Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Sayona Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 45.90 90 days 45.90 
about 49.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sayona Mining to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 49.25 (This Sayona Mining Limited probability density function shows the probability of Sayona Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sayona Mining has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Sayona Mining average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sayona Mining Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sayona Mining Limited has an alpha of 0.9185, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sayona Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sayona Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sayona Mining Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sayona Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.1441.7647.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.6246.2451.86
Details

Sayona Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sayona Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sayona Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sayona Mining Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sayona Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.92
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
12.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Sayona Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sayona Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sayona Mining Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sayona Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sayona Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 223.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (294.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 193.67 M.
Sayona Mining generates negative cash flow from operations
Sayona Mining has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Elevra Lithium Quarterly Activities Report

Sayona Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sayona Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sayona Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sayona Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments72.3 M

Sayona Mining Fundamentals Growth

Sayona Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Sayona Mining, and Sayona Mining fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Sayona Stock performance.

About Sayona Mining Performance

Assessing Sayona Mining's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Sayona Mining's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Sayona Mining is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 203.51  244.79 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.52)(0.49)
Return On Capital Employed(0.41)(0.39)
Return On Assets(0.52)(0.49)
Return On Equity(0.81)(0.77)

Things to note about Sayona Mining Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sayona Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Sayona Mining Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sayona Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sayona Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 223.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (294.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 193.67 M.
Sayona Mining generates negative cash flow from operations
Sayona Mining has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Elevra Lithium Quarterly Activities Report
Evaluating Sayona Mining's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Sayona Mining's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Sayona Mining's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Sayona Mining's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Sayona Mining's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Sayona Mining's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Sayona Mining's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Sayona Mining's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Sayona Mining's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Sayona Mining's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Sayona Mining's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Sayona Stock Analysis

When running Sayona Mining's price analysis, check to measure Sayona Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sayona Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Sayona Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sayona Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sayona Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sayona Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.