PT Merdeka (Indonesia) Performance

EMAS Stock   8,225  100.00  1.20%   
PT Merdeka holds a performance score of 20 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0303, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PT Merdeka are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PT Merdeka is likely to outperform the market. Use PT Merdeka Gold market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to analyze future returns on PT Merdeka Gold.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PT Merdeka Gold are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting forward-looking signals, PT Merdeka disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

PT Merdeka Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  374,000  in PT Merdeka Gold on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  448,500  from holding PT Merdeka Gold or generate 119.92% return on investment over 90 days. PT Merdeka Gold is generating 1.4407% of daily returns and assumes 5.4818% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 49% of stocks are less volatile than EMAS, and 71% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Merdeka is expected to generate 7.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

PT Merdeka Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of EMAS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8,225 90 days 8,225 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Merdeka to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This PT Merdeka Gold probability density function shows the probability of EMAS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Merdeka Gold has a beta of -0.0303 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Merdeka are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Merdeka Gold is likely to outperform the market. Moreover PT Merdeka Gold has an alpha of 1.3538, implying that it can generate a 1.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PT Merdeka Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Merdeka

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Merdeka Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

PT Merdeka Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Merdeka is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Merdeka's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Merdeka Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Merdeka within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1,344
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

PT Merdeka Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Merdeka for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Merdeka Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Merdeka Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PT Merdeka Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Things to note about PT Merdeka Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Merdeka for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Merdeka Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PT Merdeka Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PT Merdeka Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Evaluating PT Merdeka's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PT Merdeka's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PT Merdeka's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PT Merdeka's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PT Merdeka's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PT Merdeka's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PT Merdeka's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PT Merdeka's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PT Merdeka's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PT Merdeka's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PT Merdeka's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.