Empire State Realty Stock Performance
| ESRT Stock | USD 6.70 0.01 0.15% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.07, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Empire State returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Empire State is expected to follow. At this point, Empire State Realty has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to confirm Empire State's total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Empire State Realty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Empire State Realty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.0747 | Five Day Return 4.85 | Year To Date Return 3.55 | Ten Year Return (60.36) | All Time Return (48.85) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0209 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.14 | Dividend Date 2025-12-31 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-12-15 |
1 | Empire State Realty Trust FFO of 0.22 in-line, revenue of 197.73M beats by 2.74M | 10/29/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 12500 shares by Thomas Durels of Empire State at 8.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/31/2025 |
3 | Despite Weak Office Demand in Manhattan, Empire States Trophy Asset Should Hold Durable Value - Morningstar | 11/17/2025 |
4 | Scholastic divests its NYC HQ, Missouri facility for 401M | 12/02/2025 |
5 | Empire State Building Sets New Standard as First LEED v5 Platinum Certified Building in New York State | 12/09/2025 |
6 | Assessing Empire State Realty Trust Valuation After a 35 percent Year-to-Date Share Price Decline | 12/22/2025 |
7 | Empire State Realty Trust Reaches New 12-Month Low - Time to Sell - MarketBeat | 12/29/2025 |
| Empire State dividend paid on 31st of December 2025 | 12/31/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 100000 shares by Thomas Durels of Empire State subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
9 | Momentum Shift Why Empire State Realty Trust Inc stock is considered a top pick - Bond Market Fast Moving Stock Trade Plans - moha.gov.vn | 01/07/2026 |
10 | The Bull Case For Empire State Realty Trust Could Change Following Rolex Tourneau Lease In Williamsburg | 01/12/2026 |
11 | Acquisition by Grant Hill of 16484 shares of Empire State subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/22/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 407 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -397.1 M |
Empire State Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 775.00 in Empire State Realty on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (105.00) from holding Empire State Realty or give up 13.55% of portfolio value over 90 days. Empire State Realty is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0024% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Empire, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Empire State Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Empire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.70 | 90 days | 6.70 | about 67.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Empire State to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.91 (This Empire State Realty probability density function shows the probability of Empire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 suggesting Empire State Realty market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Empire State is expected to follow. Additionally Empire State Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Empire State Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Empire State
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empire State Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Empire State Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Empire State is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Empire State's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Empire State Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Empire State within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Empire State Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Empire State for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Empire State Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Empire State Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Empire State paid $ 0.035 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Acquisition by Grant Hill of 16484 shares of Empire State subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Empire State Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Empire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Empire State's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empire State's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 269 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 385.5 M |
Empire State Fundamentals Growth
Empire Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Empire State, and Empire State fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Empire Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0335 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.021 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 3.07 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 169.22 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 130.50 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.09 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.60 X | ||||
| Revenue | 763.15 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 404.52 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 343.53 M | ||||
| Net Income | 80.36 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 387.25 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.28 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.48 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.38 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 7.52 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.14 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 260.89 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.20 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.99 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 4.51 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (58.89 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 112.42 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 476.87 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 154.76 M | ||||
About Empire State Performance
Assessing Empire State's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Empire State's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Empire State is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 87.69 | 92.07 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.06 | 0.05 |
Things to note about Empire State Realty performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Empire State for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Empire State Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Empire State Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Empire State paid $ 0.035 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Acquisition by Grant Hill of 16484 shares of Empire State subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Empire State's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Empire State's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Empire State's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Empire State's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Empire State's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Empire State's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Empire State's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Empire Stock Analysis
When running Empire State's price analysis, check to measure Empire State's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire State is operating at the current time. Most of Empire State's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire State's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire State's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire State to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.