Exelon Stock Performance

EXC Stock  USD 43.91  0.87  1.94%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0511, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Exelon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Exelon is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Exelon has a negative expected return of -0.0691%. Please make sure to confirm Exelon's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Exelon performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Exelon has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Exelon is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.83
Five Day Return
0.0223
Year To Date Return
1.96
Ten Year Return
108.38
All Time Return
318.5
Forward Dividend Yield
0.036
Payout Ratio
0.7373
Last Split Factor
1402:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Cerity Partners LLC Has 12.37 Million Stock Holdings in Exelon Corporation EXC
12/11/2025
 
Exelon dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
2
Utility CEO on the data center crunch Americas check engine light is on and no ones going to pay attention until it breaks down
12/24/2025
3
Acquisition by Bowers William P of 940 shares of Exelon at 43.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
4
Acquisition by Dewalt David G of 228 shares of Exelon at 44.19 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
ComEd submits new 15.3 billion, four-year grid plan to the state to meet increased electric demand
01/20/2026
6
Analysts Recent Ratings Updates for Exelon
01/22/2026
7
United Way Worldwide Names Rosie Allen-Herring as Interim President and CEO
01/26/2026
8
Assessing Exelon Valuation After Recent Share Price Moves And Transmission Growth Plans
01/27/2026
9
Nursing home reported a gas smell hours before deadly explosion
01/28/2026
10
ComEds Grid Plan And Clean Energy Push Might Change The Case For Investing In Exelon
01/29/2026
11
PPL Snowstorm Resilience Highlights Grid Spending And Investor Trade Offs
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7 B

Exelon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,598  in Exelon on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (207.00) from holding Exelon or give up 4.5% of portfolio value over 90 days. Exelon is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.0276% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than Exelon, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Exelon is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Exelon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Exelon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43.91 90 days 43.91 
about 75.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exelon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.36 (This Exelon probability density function shows the probability of Exelon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Exelon has a beta of 0.0511 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Exelon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Exelon will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Exelon has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Exelon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Exelon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exelon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exelon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.7944.7945.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.3046.8947.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.7244.7245.72
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
44.4848.8854.25
Details

Exelon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exelon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exelon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exelon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exelon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Exelon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exelon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exelon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exelon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exelon has 46.65 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.64, which is OK given its current industry classification. Exelon has a current ratio of 0.89, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Exelon to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Exelon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of Exelon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of December 2025 Exelon paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: PPL Snowstorm Resilience Highlights Grid Spending And Investor Trade Offs

Exelon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exelon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exelon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exelon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments357 M

Exelon Fundamentals Growth

Exelon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Exelon, and Exelon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Exelon Stock performance.

About Exelon Performance

By analyzing Exelon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Exelon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Exelon has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Exelon has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 26.28  43.37 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.12 

Things to note about Exelon performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Exelon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Exelon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exelon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Exelon has 46.65 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.64, which is OK given its current industry classification. Exelon has a current ratio of 0.89, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Exelon to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Exelon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of Exelon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of December 2025 Exelon paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: PPL Snowstorm Resilience Highlights Grid Spending And Investor Trade Offs
Evaluating Exelon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Exelon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Exelon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Exelon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Exelon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Exelon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Exelon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Exelon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Exelon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Exelon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Exelon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Exelon's price analysis, check to measure Exelon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exelon is operating at the current time. Most of Exelon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exelon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exelon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exelon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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