Overseas Series Class Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

EXOSX Fund  USD 38.14  0.27  0.71%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.7, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Overseas Series' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Overseas Series is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Overseas Series Class are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Overseas Series is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio0.7600
  

Overseas Series Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,663  in Overseas Series Class on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  151.00  from holding Overseas Series Class or generate 4.12% return on investment over 90 days. Overseas Series Class is currently producing 0.0688% returns and takes up 0.7265% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Overseas, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Overseas Series is expected to generate 0.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.02 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Overseas Series Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
38.14
Please note that Overseas Series' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Overseas Series Class holds a recent Real Value of $37.79 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $38.14. We determine the value of Overseas Series Class from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Overseas Series is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Overseas Mutual Fund. However, Overseas Series' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  38.14 Real  37.79 Hype  38.13 Naive  37.58
The intrinsic value of Overseas Series' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Overseas Series' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
37.79
Real Value
38.52
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Overseas Series Class helps investors to forecast how Overseas mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Overseas Series more accurately as focusing exclusively on Overseas Series' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.4737.5038.53
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4038.1338.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
36.8537.5838.30
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Overseas Series Class extending back to July 16, 2002. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Overseas Series stands at 38.14, as last reported on the 26th of January, with the highest price reaching 38.14 and the lowest price hitting 38.14 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Overseas Series Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Overseas Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.14 90 days 38.14 
roughly 2.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Overseas Series to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.42 (This Overseas Series Class probability density function shows the probability of Overseas Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Overseas Series has a beta of 0.7 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Overseas Series average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Overseas Series Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Overseas Series Class has an alpha of 0.0164, implying that it can generate a 0.0164 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Overseas Series Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Overseas Series

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Overseas Series Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Overseas Series' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4038.1338.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.0637.7938.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.8537.5838.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.4737.5038.53
Details

Overseas Series Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Overseas Series is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Overseas Series' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Overseas Series Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Overseas Series within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.0059

Overseas Series Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Overseas Series for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Overseas Series Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Overseas Series Fundamentals Growth

Overseas Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Overseas Series, and Overseas Series fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Overseas Mutual Fund performance.

About Overseas Series Performance

Evaluating Overseas Series' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Overseas Series has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Overseas Series has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in securities of issuers from countries outside the United States typically, the actual percentage will be considerably higher. It may invest in securities denominated in foreign currencies and American Depository Receipts and other U.S. dollar denominated securities of foreign issuers. The fund may invest in small-, large-, or mid-size companies.

Things to note about Overseas Series Class performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Overseas Series for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Overseas Series Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Overseas Series' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Overseas Series' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Overseas Series' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Overseas Series' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Overseas Series' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Overseas Series' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Overseas Series' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Overseas Series' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Overseas Series' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Overseas Series' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Overseas Series' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Overseas Mutual Fund

Overseas Series financial ratios help investors to determine whether Overseas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Overseas with respect to the benefits of owning Overseas Series security.
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