Falconstor Software Stock Performance

FALC Stock  USD 1.53  0.10  6.99%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, FalconStor Software holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.72, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, FalconStor Software will likely underperform. Please check FalconStor Software's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether FalconStor Software's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FalconStor Software are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, FalconStor Software exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-182.3 K
  

FalconStor Software Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  147.00  in FalconStor Software on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding FalconStor Software or give up 2.04% of portfolio value over 90 days. FalconStor Software is currently generating 0.4219% in daily expected returns and assumes 9.3382% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 83% of pink sheets are less volatile than FalconStor, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FalconStor Software is expected to generate 12.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 12.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

FalconStor Software Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FalconStor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.53 90 days 1.53 
about 30.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FalconStor Software to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.85 (This FalconStor Software probability density function shows the probability of FalconStor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.72 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FalconStor Software will likely underperform. Additionally FalconStor Software has an alpha of 0.4234, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FalconStor Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FalconStor Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FalconStor Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.4410.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.2010.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.6310.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.961.351.73
Details

FalconStor Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FalconStor Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FalconStor Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FalconStor Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FalconStor Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

FalconStor Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FalconStor Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FalconStor Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FalconStor Software had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
FalconStor Software may become a speculative penny stock
FalconStor Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
FalconStor Software currently holds 2.15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FalconStor Software has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist FalconStor Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FalconStor Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FalconStor Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FalconStor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FalconStor Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
FalconStor Software currently holds about 1.81 M in cash with (883.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.25.
Roughly 68.0% of FalconStor Software shares are owned by institutional investors

FalconStor Software Fundamentals Growth

FalconStor Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FalconStor Software, and FalconStor Software fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FalconStor Pink Sheet performance.

About FalconStor Software Performance

By analyzing FalconStor Software's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FalconStor Software's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FalconStor Software has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FalconStor Software has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
FalconStor Software, Inc., a storage software company, enables enterprise customers and managed service providers to secure, migrate, and protect their data worldwide. FalconStor Software, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Falconstor Software operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 61 people.

Things to note about FalconStor Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FalconStor Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for FalconStor Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FalconStor Software had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
FalconStor Software may become a speculative penny stock
FalconStor Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
FalconStor Software currently holds 2.15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FalconStor Software has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist FalconStor Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FalconStor Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FalconStor Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FalconStor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FalconStor Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
FalconStor Software currently holds about 1.81 M in cash with (883.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.25.
Roughly 68.0% of FalconStor Software shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating FalconStor Software's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate FalconStor Software's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing FalconStor Software's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FalconStor Software's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining FalconStor Software's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating FalconStor Software's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FalconStor Software's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FalconStor Software's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into FalconStor Software's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating FalconStor Software's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact FalconStor Software's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for FalconStor Pink Sheet analysis

When running FalconStor Software's price analysis, check to measure FalconStor Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FalconStor Software is operating at the current time. Most of FalconStor Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FalconStor Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FalconStor Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FalconStor Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity