First Capital Bancshares Stock Performance

FCPB Stock  USD 11.60  0.10  0.87%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.34, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Capital is likely to outperform the market. At this point, First Capital Bancshares has a negative expected return of -0.0087%. Please make sure to confirm First Capital's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the potential upside and day typical price , to decide if First Capital Bancshares performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Capital Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

First Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,176  in First Capital Bancshares on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (16.00) from holding First Capital Bancshares or give up 1.36% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Capital Bancshares is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.6746% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of pink sheets are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Capital is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

First Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.60 90 days 11.60 
about 66.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.39 (This First Capital Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Capital Bancshares has a beta of -0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Capital Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Capital Bancshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Capital Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9411.6013.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.149.8012.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1811.8413.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3511.5711.78
Details

First Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Capital Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0004
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

First Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Capital Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

First Capital Fundamentals Growth

First Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Capital, and First Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Pink Sheet performance.

About First Capital Performance

By analyzing First Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
First Capital Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First Capital Bank that provides commercial banking services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Charleston, South Carolina. First Capital operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about First Capital Bancshares performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for First Capital Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating First Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Capital's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing First Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Capital's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into First Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Capital's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Capital's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis

When running First Capital's price analysis, check to measure First Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Capital is operating at the current time. Most of First Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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