First Trust (Netherlands) Performance

FDNE Etf   27.89  0.01  0.04%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.12, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Trust Dow has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the Etf's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the exchange-traded fund private investors. ...more
  

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,141  in First Trust Dow on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (352.00) from holding First Trust Dow or give up 11.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Dow is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.16% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 10% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Dow extending back to June 28, 2018. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 27.89, as last reported on the 20th of February, with the highest price reaching 28.06 and the lowest price hitting 27.83 during the day.
3 y Volatility
18.89
200 Day MA
31.822
1 y Volatility
18.71
50 Day MA
30.8774
Inception Date
2018-06-18
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.89 90 days 27.89 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This First Trust Dow probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust Dow has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Trust Dow is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Trust Dow has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Dow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.7327.8929.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2228.3829.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.7727.9329.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8127.9939.16
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Dow, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Dow can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Trust Dow generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

Assessing First Trust's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into First Trust's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the First Trust is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Trust is entity of Netherlands. It is traded as Etf on AS exchange.
First Trust Dow generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
When determining whether First Trust Dow is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Dow. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, First Trust's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.