Fedex Stock Performance
| FDX Stock | USD 304.47 0.26 0.09% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, FedEx holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.1, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. FedEx returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FedEx is expected to follow. Please check FedEx's standard deviation, expected short fall, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether FedEx's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FedEx are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, FedEx showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.0855 | Five Day Return 0.87 | Year To Date Return 3.87 | Ten Year Return 139.21 | All Time Return 31.8 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0191 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 5.8 | Dividend Date 2026-01-06 |
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| Begin Period Cash Flow | 6.5 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -4.1 B |
FedEx Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 24,837 in FedEx on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 5,610 from holding FedEx or generate 22.59% return on investment over 90 days. FedEx is generating 0.3498% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4183% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than FedEx, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
FedEx Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of FedEx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 304.47 | 90 days | 304.47 | about 11.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FedEx to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.37 (This FedEx probability density function shows the probability of FedEx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This usually indicates FedEx market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FedEx is expected to follow. Additionally FedEx has an alpha of 0.2729, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FedEx Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FedEx
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FedEx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FedEx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FedEx Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FedEx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FedEx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FedEx, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FedEx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
FedEx Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FedEx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FedEx can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of January 2026 FedEx paid $ 1.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Time To Reassess FedEx After Recent Valuation Signals |
FedEx Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FedEx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FedEx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FedEx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 243 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 B |
FedEx Fundamentals Growth
FedEx Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FedEx, and FedEx fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FedEx Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0507 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 102.72 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 235.12 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 15.53 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.54 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.80 X | ||||
| Revenue | 87.93 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 24.88 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 10.49 B | ||||
| Net Income | 4.09 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.5 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 26.32 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 37.42 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.50 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.42 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 119.75 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.04 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 18.07 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 71.78 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 87.63 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 41.4 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 2.98 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 11.99 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 8.01 B | ||||
About FedEx Performance
Evaluating FedEx's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if FedEx has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FedEx has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 3.67 | 3.48 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | 0.09 |
Things to note about FedEx performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about FedEx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FedEx help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of January 2026 FedEx paid $ 1.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is It Time To Reassess FedEx After Recent Valuation Signals |
- Analyzing FedEx's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FedEx's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining FedEx's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating FedEx's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FedEx's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FedEx's stock. These opinions can provide insight into FedEx's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for FedEx Stock Analysis
When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.