Federated High Yield Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FHYSX Fund  USD 11.89  0.02  0.17%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.1, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated High's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated High is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federated High Yield are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Federated High is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Federated High Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,172  in Federated High Yield on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  17.00  from holding Federated High Yield or generate 1.45% return on investment over 90 days. Federated High Yield is currently producing 0.0238% returns and takes up 0.1788% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Federated, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated High is expected to generate 2.34 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 4.18 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Federated High Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.89
Please note that Federated High's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Federated High Yield shows a prevailing Real Value of $10.92 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.89. We determine the value of Federated High Yield from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Federated High is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Federated Mutual Fund. However, Federated High's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.89 Real  10.92 Hype  11.89 Naive  11.85
The intrinsic value of Federated High's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Federated High's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.92
Real Value
13.08
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Federated High Yield helps investors to forecast how Federated mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Federated High more accurately as focusing exclusively on Federated High's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8711.9211.97
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7111.8912.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.6711.8512.03
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Federated High Yield extending back to July 01, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Federated High stands at 11.89, as last reported on the 31st of January, with the highest price reaching 11.89 and the lowest price hitting 11.89 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Federated High Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.89 90 days 11.89 
about 23.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated High to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.06 (This Federated High Yield probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated High has a beta of 0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Federated High average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federated High Yield will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federated High Yield has an alpha of 0.0068, implying that it can generate a 0.006832 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Federated High Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federated High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated High Yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7111.8912.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7410.9213.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6711.8512.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8711.9211.97
Details

Federated High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated High Yield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Federated High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated High Yield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 96.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Federated High Fundamentals Growth

Federated Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federated High, and Federated High fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federated Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset125.33 M

About Federated High Performance

Evaluating Federated High's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Federated High has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federated High has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund pursues its investment objective by investing primarily in the High Yield Bond Core Fund , a portfolio of Federated Hermes Core Trust. The underlying fund in turn invests in a diversified portfolio of domestic corporate high-yield bonds , but may invest a portion of its portfolio in securities of issuers based outside the United States.

Things to note about Federated High Yield performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Federated High Yield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 96.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Federated High's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federated High's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Federated High's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federated High's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federated High's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federated High's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federated High's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federated High's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Federated High's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federated High's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federated High's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated High security.
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