Farmers Merchants Bancshares Stock Performance

FMBN Stock  USD 31.24  0.49  1.59%   
Farmers Merchants has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0696, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Farmers Merchants are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Farmers Merchants is likely to outperform the market. Farmers Merchants right now shows a risk of 0.89%. Please confirm Farmers Merchants jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Farmers Merchants will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Farmers Merchants Bancshares are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy fundamental drivers, Farmers Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

Farmers Merchants Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,000  in Farmers Merchants Bancshares on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  124.00  from holding Farmers Merchants Bancshares or generate 4.13% return on investment over 90 days. Farmers Merchants Bancshares is currently generating 0.0704% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.8941% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 8% of pink sheets are less volatile than Farmers, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers Merchants is expected to generate 1.45 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Farmers Merchants Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Farmers Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.24 90 days 31.24 
about 11.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmers Merchants to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.67 (This Farmers Merchants Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Farmers Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers Merchants Bancshares has a beta of -0.0696. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Farmers Merchants are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Farmers Merchants Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Farmers Merchants Bancshares has an alpha of 0.0592, implying that it can generate a 0.0592 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Farmers Merchants Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmers Merchants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers Merchants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.3431.2432.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.8128.7134.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmers Merchants. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmers Merchants' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmers Merchants' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmers Merchants.

Farmers Merchants Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmers Merchants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmers Merchants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmers Merchants Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmers Merchants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.0057

Farmers Merchants Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmers Merchants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmers Merchants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Farmers Merchants Fundamentals Growth

Farmers Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Farmers Merchants, and Farmers Merchants fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Farmers Pink Sheet performance.

About Farmers Merchants Performance

By examining Farmers Merchants' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Farmers Merchants' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Farmers Merchants is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
operates as a holding company for Farmers Merchants Bank Trust that provides various financial services in Des Moines and Louisa Counties, Iowa. The company was founded in 1916 and is based in Burlington, Iowa. Farmers Merchants operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Farmers Merchants performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmers Merchants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Farmers Merchants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Farmers Merchants' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Farmers Merchants' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Farmers Merchants' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Farmers Merchants' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Farmers Merchants' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Farmers Merchants' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Farmers Merchants' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Farmers Merchants' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Farmers Merchants' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Farmers Merchants' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Farmers Merchants' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Farmers Pink Sheet

Farmers Merchants financial ratios help investors to determine whether Farmers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Farmers with respect to the benefits of owning Farmers Merchants security.