Federal National Mortgage Stock Performance
| FNMA Stock | USD 7.40 0.25 3.27% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.41, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Federal National are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Federal National is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Federal National Mortgage has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to confirm Federal National's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Federal National Mortgage performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Federal National Mortgage has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 115.6 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 90.8 B |
Federal |
Federal National Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 981.00 in Federal National Mortgage on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (216.00) from holding Federal National Mortgage or give up 22.02% of portfolio value over 90 days. Federal National Mortgage is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.7991% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of otc stocks are less volatile than Federal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Federal National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Federal OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.40 | 90 days | 7.40 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Federal National Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Federal OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Federal National Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal National Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Federal National Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal National Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Federal National Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal National Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Federal National has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Federal National Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 218.4 B |
Federal National Fundamentals Growth
Federal OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal National, and Federal National fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal OTC Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0039 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.57 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.74 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 4.06 T | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.16 B | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.02 X | |||
| Revenue | 36.59 B | |||
| EBITDA | 4.96 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 115.07 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 20.05 X | |||
| Total Debt | 4.16 T | |||
| Book Value Per Share | (14.14) X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 47.21 B | |||
| Total Asset | 4.23 T | |||
| Retained Earnings | (128.15 B) | |||
About Federal National Performance
By analyzing Federal National's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Federal National's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Federal National has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federal National has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Federal National Mortgage Association provides a source of financing for mortgages in the United States. Federal National Mortgage Association was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Washington, the District of Columbia. Fannie Mae operates under Mortgage Finance classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 7400 people.Things to note about Federal National Mortgage performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal National Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Federal National has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
- Analyzing Federal National's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal National's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Federal National's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Federal National's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal National's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal National's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Federal National's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Federal OTC Stock analysis
When running Federal National's price analysis, check to measure Federal National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal National is operating at the current time. Most of Federal National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |