Federal National Mortgage Stock Performance

FNMAJ Stock  USD 11.55  0.34  2.86%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Federal National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federal National is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Federal National Mortgage has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to confirm Federal National's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Federal National Mortgage performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Federal National Mortgage has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively steady which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The new chaos may also be a sign of medium-term up-swing for the company stakeholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow115.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities90.8 B
  

Federal National Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,430  in Federal National Mortgage on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (275.00) from holding Federal National Mortgage or give up 19.23% of portfolio value over 90 days. Federal National Mortgage is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.6871% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 24% of traded otc stocks are less volatile than Federal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federal National is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Federal National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federal OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.55 90 days 11.55 
about 85.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.8 (This Federal National Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Federal OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federal National has a beta of 0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Federal National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federal National Mortgage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federal National Mortgage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Federal National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federal National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal National Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8611.5514.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.4110.1012.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Federal National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Federal National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Federal National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Federal National Mortgage.

Federal National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal National Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Federal National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal National Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federal National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Federal National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments218.4 B

Federal National Fundamentals Growth

Federal OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal National, and Federal National fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal OTC Stock performance.

About Federal National Performance

By evaluating Federal National's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Federal National's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Federal National has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federal National has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Federal National Mortgage Association provides a source of financing for mortgages in the United States. Federal National Mortgage Association was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Washington, the District of Columbia. Fannie Mae operates under Mortgage Finance classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 7400 people.

Things to note about Federal National Mortgage performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal National Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federal National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Federal National's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federal National's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Federal National's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal National's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federal National's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federal National's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal National's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal National's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Federal National's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federal National's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federal National's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Federal OTC Stock

Federal National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal National security.