The Fairholme Focused Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FOCIX Fund  USD 15.37  0.07  0.46%   
The entity has a beta of 0.2, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, the Fairholme's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding the Fairholme is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Fairholme Focused are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, The Fairholme is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Tracking Bruce Berkowitzs Fairholme Portfolio - Q3 2025 Update - Seeking Alpha
12/16/2025
Expense Ratio Date28th of March 2025
Expense Ratio1.0100
  

The Fairholme Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,458  in The Fairholme Focused on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  79.00  from holding The Fairholme Focused or generate 5.42% return on investment over 90 days. The Fairholme Focused is currently producing 0.0893% returns and takes up 0.52% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than The, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Fairholme is expected to generate about the same return on investment as the market. But, the company is 1.4 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

The Fairholme Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
15.37
Please note that The Fairholme's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Fairholme Focused has a current Real Value of $15.26 per share. The regular price of the fund is $15.37. We determine the value of Fairholme Focused from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since The Fairholme is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of The Mutual Fund. However, The Fairholme's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.37 Real  15.26 Hype  15.36 Naive  15.33
The intrinsic value of The Fairholme's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence The Fairholme's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.26
Real Value
15.78
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Fairholme Focused helps investors to forecast how The mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of The Fairholme more accurately as focusing exclusively on The Fairholme's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5115.3017.09
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8415.3615.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.8115.3315.84
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for The Fairholme Focused extending back to December 31, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of The Fairholme stands at 15.37, as last reported on the 23rd of February, with the highest price reaching 15.37 and the lowest price hitting 15.37 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

The Fairholme Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.37 90 days 15.37 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Fairholme to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Fairholme Focused probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Fairholme has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, The Fairholme average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Fairholme Focused will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Fairholme Focused has an alpha of 0.0655, implying that it can generate a 0.0655 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   The Fairholme Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for The Fairholme

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fairholme Focused. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8415.3615.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7415.2615.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8115.3315.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5115.3017.09
Details

The Fairholme Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Fairholme is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Fairholme's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Fairholme Focused, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Fairholme within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

The Fairholme Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Fairholme for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fairholme Focused can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 59.87% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

The Fairholme Fundamentals Growth

The Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of The Fairholme, and The Fairholme fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on The Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset208.62 M

About The Fairholme Performance

Evaluating The Fairholme's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if The Fairholme has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if The Fairholme has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in a focused portfolio of cash distributing securities. To maintain maximum flexibility, the securities in which it may invest include corporate bonds and other corporate debt securities of issuers in the U.S. and foreign countries, bank debt , government and agency debt securities of the U.S. and foreign countries, convertible bonds and other convertible securities, and equity securities, including preferred and common stock of issuers in the U.S. and foreign countries, interests in PTPs, and interests in REITs. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Fairholme Focused performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about The Fairholme for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Fairholme Focused help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 59.87% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating The Fairholme's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate The Fairholme's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing The Fairholme's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether The Fairholme's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining The Fairholme's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating The Fairholme's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of The Fairholme's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of The Fairholme's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into The Fairholme's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating The Fairholme's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact The Fairholme's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Fairholme financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Fairholme security.
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