Fair Isaac (Germany) Performance

FRI Stock  EUR 1,182  1.00  0.08%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fair Isaac's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fair Isaac is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Fair Isaac has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to confirm Fair Isaac's value at risk, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if Fair Isaac performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Fair Isaac has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Ex Dividend Date
2016-11-30
1
Will Fair Isaac Corporation stock sustain uptrend momentum - 2025 Price Momentum Consistent Income Trade Ideas - newser.com
11/11/2025
2
Hsbc Holdings PLC Raises Stock Holdings in Fair Isaac Corporation FICO - MarketBeat
12/01/2025
3
Why Is Fair Isaac Up 5.8 percent Since Last Earnings Report - Yahoo Finance
12/05/2025
4
Insider Sell Steven Weber Sells Shares of Fair Isaac Corp - GuruFocus
12/19/2025
5
Trump Wants to Lower Housing Costs. How Fair Isaac and Equifax Stock Could Benefit. - Barrons
01/08/2026
6
Fair Isaac Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Pullback And Three Year Outperformance - simplywall.st
01/13/2026
7
Fair Isaac Corporation FICO Shares Sold by EULAV Asset Management - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
8
Understanding the Setup and Scalable Risk - Stock Traders Daily
01/22/2026
9
Fair Isaac Q1 Earnings Top Estimates, Strong Scores Drive Up Sales YY - Zacks Investment Research
01/29/2026
10
Fair Isaac Shares Under Pressure as Analyst Target is Sharply Reduced - AD HOC NEWS
02/04/2026
  

Fair Isaac Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  150,150  in Fair Isaac on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (31,900) from holding Fair Isaac or give up 21.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fair Isaac is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.3701% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 21% of traded stocks are less volatile than Fair, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fair Isaac is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Fair Isaac Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,182 90 days 1,182 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fair Isaac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Fair Isaac probability density function shows the probability of Fair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fair Isaac has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fair Isaac average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fair Isaac will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fair Isaac has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fair Isaac Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fair Isaac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fair Isaac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1801,1831,185
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1671,1691,301
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1381,1411,143
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.853.053.16
Details

Fair Isaac Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fair Isaac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fair Isaac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fair Isaac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fair Isaac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
110.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Fair Isaac Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fair Isaac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fair Isaac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fair Isaac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fair Isaac has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Fair Isaac has accumulated 399.54 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 306.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fair Isaac has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fair Isaac until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fair Isaac's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fair Isaac sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fair to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fair Isaac's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 92.0% of Fair Isaac shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Retail Food Group Secures New Debt Facility, Cuts Costs and Backs FY26 Earnings Rebound - TipRanks

Fair Isaac Fundamentals Growth

Fair Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fair Isaac, and Fair Isaac fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fair Stock performance.

About Fair Isaac Performance

By analyzing Fair Isaac's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Fair Isaac's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Fair Isaac has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fair Isaac has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Fair Isaac Corporation develops analytic, software, and data management products and services that enable businesses to automate, enhance, and connect decisions. Fair Isaac Corporation was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. FAIR ISAAC operates under Software - Infrastructure classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 67 people.

Things to note about Fair Isaac performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fair Isaac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fair Isaac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fair Isaac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fair Isaac has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Fair Isaac has accumulated 399.54 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 306.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fair Isaac has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fair Isaac until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fair Isaac's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fair Isaac sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fair to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fair Isaac's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 92.0% of Fair Isaac shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Retail Food Group Secures New Debt Facility, Cuts Costs and Backs FY26 Earnings Rebound - TipRanks
Evaluating Fair Isaac's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fair Isaac's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fair Isaac's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fair Isaac's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fair Isaac's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fair Isaac's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fair Isaac's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fair Isaac's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fair Isaac's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fair Isaac's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fair Isaac's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Fair Stock analysis

When running Fair Isaac's price analysis, check to measure Fair Isaac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fair Isaac is operating at the current time. Most of Fair Isaac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fair Isaac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fair Isaac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fair Isaac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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