Gafisa Sa Adr Stock Performance
| GFASY Stock | USD 0.14 0.11 311.76% |
Gafisa SA holds a performance score of 10 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 4.06, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Gafisa SA will likely underperform. Use Gafisa SA ADR total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on Gafisa SA ADR.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gafisa SA ADR are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Gafisa SA showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 29 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -445.4 M |
Gafisa |
Gafisa SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 13.00 in Gafisa SA ADR on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1.00 from holding Gafisa SA ADR or generate 7.69% return on investment over 90 days. Gafisa SA ADR is currently producing 6.0909% returns and takes up 45.1473% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Gafisa, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Gafisa SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Gafisa Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.14 | 90 days | 0.14 | about 31.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gafisa SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.4 (This Gafisa SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Gafisa Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Gafisa SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gafisa SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gafisa SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gafisa SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gafisa SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gafisa SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gafisa SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gafisa SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gafisa SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Gafisa SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gafisa SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gafisa SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gafisa SA ADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Gafisa SA ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gafisa SA ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gafisa SA ADR has accumulated about 378.17 M in cash with (279.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Gafisa SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gafisa Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gafisa SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gafisa SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 452.8 M |
Gafisa SA Fundamentals Growth
Gafisa Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gafisa SA, and Gafisa SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gafisa Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0176 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0069 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.03) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.05) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 256.66 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 25.55 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 0.36 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.13 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.04 X | |||
| Revenue | 818.31 M | |||
| EBITDA | 236.97 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 378.17 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 20.19 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.16 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.00 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 92.02 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (279.92 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.05 X | |||
| Total Asset | 4.72 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | (2.4 B) | |||
| Current Asset | 3.31 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 1.42 B | |||
About Gafisa SA Performance
Evaluating Gafisa SA's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Gafisa SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Gafisa SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Gafisa S.A. operates as a homebuilder under the Gafisa brand name in Brazil. Gafisa S.A. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil. Gafisa SA operates under Residential Construction classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 426 people.Things to note about Gafisa SA ADR performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gafisa SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Gafisa SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gafisa SA ADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Gafisa SA ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gafisa SA ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gafisa SA ADR has accumulated about 378.17 M in cash with (279.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
- Analyzing Gafisa SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gafisa SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Gafisa SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Gafisa SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gafisa SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gafisa SA's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Gafisa SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Gafisa Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Gafisa SA's price analysis, check to measure Gafisa SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gafisa SA is operating at the current time. Most of Gafisa SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gafisa SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gafisa SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gafisa SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.