Spdr Gold Shares Etf Performance

GLD Etf  USD 495.90  1.34  0.27%   
The entity has a beta of 0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, SPDR Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SPDR Gold is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Gold Shares are ranked lower than 30 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, SPDR Gold exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Stocks Start First Full Week Of 2026 Strong
01/09/2026
2
Plan Group Financial LLC Raises Stock Position in SPDR Gold Shares GLD
01/14/2026
3
Gold And Silver Trouble Brewing Technical Analysis
01/20/2026
4
Gold Price Forecast XAUUSD Slumps Below 4,800 As Trump Backs Off European Tariff Threat
01/22/2026
5
Gold Pauses Near Record Highs As Bulls Struggle Below 5,000
01/23/2026
6
Gold tops 5,000. Why the metal keeps pushing higher and higher
01/26/2026
7
Gold At 5,000 How We Got Here
01/27/2026
8
Valeo Financial Advisors LLC Has 3.63 Million Position in SPDR Gold Shares GLD
01/28/2026

SPDR Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  36,878  in SPDR Gold Shares on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12,712  from holding SPDR Gold Shares or generate 34.47% return on investment over 90 days. SPDR Gold Shares is generating 0.5033% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.3151% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 11% of etfs are less volatile than SPDR, and above 90% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon SPDR Gold is expected to generate 1.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.38 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for SPDR Gold Shares extending back to November 18, 2004. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of SPDR Gold stands at 495.90, as last reported on the 30th of January, with the highest price reaching 509.70 and the lowest price hitting 468.51 during the day.
3 y Volatility
13.8
200 Day MA
345.6912
1 y Volatility
13.63
50 Day MA
405.8806
Inception Date
2004-11-18
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

SPDR Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SPDR Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 495.90 90 days 495.90 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPDR Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SPDR Gold Shares probability density function shows the probability of SPDR Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon SPDR Gold has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, SPDR Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SPDR Gold Shares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SPDR Gold Shares has an alpha of 0.3972, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SPDR Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SPDR Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPDR Gold Shares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
494.60495.90497.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
446.31520.83522.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
516.91518.21519.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
372.10429.76487.42
Details

SPDR Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPDR Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPDR Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPDR Gold Shares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPDR Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
30.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

SPDR Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPDR Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPDR Gold Shares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Dividend growth stocks offer attractive returns with less risk, Nuveen finds. Analysts like these names
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

SPDR Gold Fundamentals Growth

SPDR Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SPDR Gold, and SPDR Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SPDR Etf performance.

About SPDR Gold Performance

By analyzing SPDR Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into SPDR Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if SPDR Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if SPDR Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The Trust holds gold bars and from time to time, issues Baskets in exchange for deposits of gold and distributes gold in connection with redemptions of Baskets. Gold SPDR is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Dividend growth stocks offer attractive returns with less risk, Nuveen finds. Analysts like these names
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
When determining whether SPDR Gold Shares is a strong investment it is important to analyze SPDR Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SPDR Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SPDR Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in SPDR Gold Shares. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
The market value of SPDR Gold Shares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPDR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPDR Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPDR Gold's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because SPDR Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPDR Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPDR Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPDR Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, SPDR Gold's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.