Geopacific Resources Limited Stock Performance

GPACF Stock  USD 0.04  0.00  0.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Geopacific Resources holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.21, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Geopacific Resources will likely underperform. Please check Geopacific Resources' information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Geopacific Resources' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Geopacific Resources Limited are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating fundamental indicators, Geopacific Resources reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow34.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-61.3 M
  

Geopacific Resources Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2.89  in Geopacific Resources Limited on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1.23  from holding Geopacific Resources Limited or generate 42.56% return on investment over 90 days. Geopacific Resources Limited is currently producing 0.7525% returns and takes up 6.5543% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 58% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Geopacific, and 85% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Geopacific Resources is expected to generate 8.0 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Geopacific Resources Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Geopacific Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geopacific Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Geopacific Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Geopacific Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Geopacific Resources will likely underperform. Additionally Geopacific Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.653, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Geopacific Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Geopacific Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geopacific Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geopacific Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.046.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.036.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.046.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.04
Details

Geopacific Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geopacific Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geopacific Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geopacific Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geopacific Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Geopacific Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geopacific Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geopacific Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Geopacific Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Geopacific Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Geopacific Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 370.62 K. Net Loss for the year was (61.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 369.12 K.
Geopacific Resources Limited has accumulated about 67.47 M in cash with (14.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Geopacific Resources Fundamentals Growth

Geopacific Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Geopacific Resources, and Geopacific Resources fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Geopacific Pink Sheet performance.

About Geopacific Resources Performance

By analyzing Geopacific Resources' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Geopacific Resources' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Geopacific Resources has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Geopacific Resources has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Geopacific Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of gold deposits in Papua New Guinea. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Claremont, Australia. Geopacific Resources operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Geopacific Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Geopacific Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Geopacific Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Geopacific Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Geopacific Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Geopacific Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 370.62 K. Net Loss for the year was (61.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 369.12 K.
Geopacific Resources Limited has accumulated about 67.47 M in cash with (14.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Geopacific Resources' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Geopacific Resources' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Geopacific Resources' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Geopacific Resources' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Geopacific Resources' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Geopacific Resources' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Geopacific Resources' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Geopacific Resources' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Geopacific Resources' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Geopacific Resources' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Geopacific Resources' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Geopacific Pink Sheet analysis

When running Geopacific Resources' price analysis, check to measure Geopacific Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geopacific Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Geopacific Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geopacific Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geopacific Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geopacific Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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