Guidepath Growth Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GPSTX Fund  USD 20.68  0.14  0.67%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.8, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guidepath(r) Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guidepath(r) Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guidepath Growth Allocation are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Guidepath(r) Growth may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Guidepath(r) Growth Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,898  in Guidepath Growth Allocation on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  170.00  from holding Guidepath Growth Allocation or generate 8.96% return on investment over 90 days. Guidepath Growth Allocation is currently producing 0.1471% returns and takes up 0.9143% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guidepath(r), and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidepath(r) Growth is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Guidepath(r) Growth Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
20.68
Please note that Guidepath(r) Growth's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Guidepath Growth All retains a regular Real Value of $21.75 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $20.68. We determine the value of Guidepath Growth All from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guidepath(r) Growth is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund. However, Guidepath(r) Growth's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.68 Real  21.75 Hype  20.68 Naive  20.71
The intrinsic value of Guidepath(r) Growth's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guidepath(r) Growth's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
21.75
Real Value
22.67
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guidepath Growth Allocation helps investors to forecast how Guidepath(r) mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guidepath(r) Growth more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guidepath(r) Growth's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3020.6921.08
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7620.6821.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.7920.7121.63
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Guidepath Growth Allocation extending back to April 29, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Guidepath(r) Growth stands at 20.68, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 20.68 and the lowest price hitting 20.68 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Guidepath(r) Growth Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.68 90 days 20.68 
about 12.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidepath(r) Growth to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.62 (This Guidepath Growth Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidepath(r) Growth has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidepath(r) Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidepath Growth Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidepath Growth Allocation has an alpha of 0.051, implying that it can generate a 0.051 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guidepath(r) Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guidepath(r) Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidepath Growth All. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guidepath(r) Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7620.6821.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6121.7522.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7920.7121.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3020.6921.08
Details

Guidepath(r) Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidepath(r) Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidepath(r) Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidepath Growth Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidepath(r) Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Guidepath(r) Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidepath(r) Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidepath Growth All can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Guidepath(r) Growth Fundamentals Growth

Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guidepath(r) Growth, and Guidepath(r) Growth fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund performance.

About Guidepath(r) Growth Performance

Evaluating Guidepath(r) Growth's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guidepath(r) Growth has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guidepath(r) Growth has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund operates as a fund of funds, investing primarily in registered mutual funds, including exchange-traded funds . The funds in which the fund may invest are referred to herein as the underlying funds. The Advisor believes that investing in underlying funds provides the fund with an efficient means of creating a portfolio that provides investors with indirect exposure to a broad range of securities.

Things to note about Guidepath Growth All performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidepath(r) Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guidepath Growth All help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Guidepath(r) Growth's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guidepath(r) Growth's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guidepath(r) Growth's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guidepath(r) Growth's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guidepath(r) Growth's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guidepath(r) Growth's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guidepath(r) Growth's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guidepath(r) Growth's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guidepath(r) Growth's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guidepath(r) Growth's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guidepath(r) Growth's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund

Guidepath(r) Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath(r) with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath(r) Growth security.
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