Deutsche Gnma Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GRRGX Fund  USD 11.95  0.01  0.08%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Gnma's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Gnma is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Deutsche Gnma Fund are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Deutsche Gnma is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Deutsche Gnma Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,190  in Deutsche Gnma Fund on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5.00  from holding Deutsche Gnma Fund or generate 0.42% return on investment over 90 days. Deutsche Gnma Fund is currently producing 0.0072% returns and takes up 0.1824% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Deutsche, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Gnma is expected to generate 7.36 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 4.14 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Deutsche Gnma Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.95
Please note that Deutsche Gnma's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Deutsche Gnma shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.94 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.95. We determine the value of Deutsche Gnma from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Deutsche Gnma is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Deutsche Mutual Fund. However, Deutsche Gnma's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.95 Real  11.94 Hype  11.88 Naive  11.91
The intrinsic value of Deutsche Gnma's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Deutsche Gnma's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.94
Real Value
12.12
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Deutsche Gnma Fund helps investors to forecast how Deutsche mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Deutsche Gnma more accurately as focusing exclusively on Deutsche Gnma's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9211.9812.03
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7011.8812.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.7311.9112.09
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Deutsche Gnma Fund extending back to February 02, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Deutsche Gnma stands at 11.95, as last reported on the 29th of January, with the highest price reaching 11.95 and the lowest price hitting 11.95 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Deutsche Gnma Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Deutsche Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.95 90 days 11.95 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Gnma to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Deutsche Gnma Fund probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Gnma has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Gnma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Gnma Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Gnma Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Deutsche Gnma Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Gnma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Gnma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7011.8812.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7611.9412.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7311.9112.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9211.9812.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Gnma. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Gnma's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Gnma's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Gnma.

Deutsche Gnma Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Gnma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Gnma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Gnma Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Gnma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.39

Deutsche Gnma Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Gnma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Gnma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BPSC AEDO salary 2026 In-hand pay, allowances job profile - MSN
The fund retains about 14.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Deutsche Gnma Fundamentals Growth

Deutsche Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Deutsche Gnma, and Deutsche Gnma fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Deutsche Mutual Fund performance.

About Deutsche Gnma Performance

Evaluating Deutsche Gnma's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Deutsche Gnma has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Deutsche Gnma has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in Ginnie Maes, which are mortgage-backed securities that are issued or guaranteed by the Government National Mortgage Association . It may also purchase or sell securities on a when-issued, delayed delivery or forward commitment basis, including U.S. government agency mortgage-backed to-be-announced securities .

Things to note about Deutsche Gnma performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Gnma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Gnma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BPSC AEDO salary 2026 In-hand pay, allowances job profile - MSN
The fund retains about 14.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Deutsche Gnma's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Deutsche Gnma's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Deutsche Gnma's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Deutsche Gnma's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Deutsche Gnma's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Deutsche Gnma's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Deutsche Gnma's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Deutsche Gnma's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Deutsche Gnma's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Deutsche Gnma's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Deutsche Gnma's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Gnma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Gnma security.
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