Guess (Germany) Performance
| GU9 Stock | EUR 14.20 0.00 0.00% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.19, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guess are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guess is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Guess Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0499%. Please make sure to check out Guess' coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to decide if Guess Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Guess Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Guess is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 360.3 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 35.6 M |
Guess |
Guess Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,451 in Guess Inc on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (31.00) from holding Guess Inc or give up 2.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guess Inc is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.5473% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded stocks are less volatile than Guess, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Guess Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Guess Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.20 | 90 days | 14.20 | about 81.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guess to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.59 (This Guess Inc probability density function shows the probability of Guess Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Guess Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guess
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guess Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guess Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guess is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guess' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guess Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guess within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Guess Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guess for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guess Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guess Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Guess Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guess Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Guess Fundamentals Growth
Guess Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guess, and Guess fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guess Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0269 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.01 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 52.15 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 87.65 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.71 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.24 X | ||||
| Revenue | 3 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.33 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 196.6 M | ||||
| Net Income | 60.42 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 112.93 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.58 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 40.95 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 228.90 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.30 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 121.68 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.99 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.77 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.29 B | ||||
About Guess Performance
By analyzing Guess' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Guess' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Guess has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guess has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. , Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California. GUESS INC operates under Apparel Stores classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 15700 people.Things to note about Guess Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guess for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guess Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guess Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Guess Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guess Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Guess' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guess' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Guess' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Guess' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guess' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guess' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guess' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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