Gugg Actv Invmt Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GULDX Fund   19.92  0.01  0.05%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0075, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gugg Actv are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Gugg Actv is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gugg Actv Invmt are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Gugg Actv is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Gugg Actv Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,972  in Gugg Actv Invmt on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  20.00  from holding Gugg Actv Invmt or generate 1.01% return on investment over 90 days. Gugg Actv Invmt is currently producing 0.0169% returns and takes up 0.0938% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Gugg, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gugg Actv is expected to generate 3.78 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 7.96 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Gugg Actv Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
19.92
Please note that Gugg Actv's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Gugg Actv Invmt retains a regular Real Value of USD18.31 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is USD19.92. Our model calculates the value of Gugg Actv Invmt from evaluating the entity technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, investors encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Gugg Actv is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Gugg Mutual Fund. However, Gugg Actv's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  19.92 Real  18.31 Hype  19.92 Naive  19.93
The intrinsic value of Gugg Actv's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Gugg Actv's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.31
Real Value
21.91
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Gugg Actv Invmt helps investors to forecast how Gugg mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Gugg Actv more accurately as focusing exclusively on Gugg Actv's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.9119.9319.95
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8319.9220.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.8419.9320.02
Details

Gugg Actv Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Gugg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.92 90 days 19.92 
about 23.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gugg Actv to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.5 (This Gugg Actv Invmt probability density function shows the probability of Gugg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gugg Actv Invmt has a beta of -0.0075. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gugg Actv are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gugg Actv Invmt is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gugg Actv Invmt has an alpha of 0.0036, implying that it can generate a 0.003562 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gugg Actv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gugg Actv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gugg Actv Invmt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gugg Actv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8319.9220.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2218.3121.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.8419.9320.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.9119.9319.95
Details

Gugg Actv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gugg Actv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gugg Actv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gugg Actv Invmt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gugg Actv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0075
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.73

About Gugg Actv Performance

Evaluating Gugg Actv's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Gugg Actv has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Gugg Actv has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund managet intends to pursue its investment objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its assets in debt securities. The manager employs a diversified, multi-sector strategy focused on under-researched areas of the fixed income universe, including sectors not included in benchmark indices, such as structured credit, non-index investment grade corporates, below investment grade corporates, and preferred stock.

Things to note about Gugg Actv Invmt performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gugg Actv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Gugg Actv Invmt help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Gugg Actv's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gugg Actv's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Gugg Actv's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gugg Actv's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gugg Actv's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gugg Actv's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gugg Actv's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gugg Actv's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Gugg Actv's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gugg Actv's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gugg Actv's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Gugg Mutual Fund

Gugg Actv financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gugg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gugg with respect to the benefits of owning Gugg Actv security.
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