Havanna Holding (Argentina) Performance

HAVA Stock  ARS 5,620  70.00  1.26%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.066, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Havanna Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Havanna Holding is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Havanna Holding SA has a negative expected return of -0.0922%. Please make sure to check out Havanna Holding's value at risk, skewness, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Havanna Holding SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Havanna Holding SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Havanna Holding is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow-332.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-113.2 M
  

Havanna Holding Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  594,000  in Havanna Holding SA on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (39,000) from holding Havanna Holding SA or give up 6.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. Havanna Holding SA is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.9726% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Havanna, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Havanna Holding is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.64 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Havanna Holding Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Havanna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5,620 90 days 5,620 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Havanna Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Havanna Holding SA probability density function shows the probability of Havanna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Havanna Holding SA has a beta of -0.066. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Havanna Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Havanna Holding SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Havanna Holding SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Havanna Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Havanna Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Havanna Holding SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,6185,6205,622
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,8244,8266,182
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,4815,4835,485
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,9945,6389,282
Details

Havanna Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Havanna Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Havanna Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Havanna Holding SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Havanna Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
201.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Havanna Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Havanna Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Havanna Holding SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Havanna Holding SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Havanna Holding Fundamentals Growth

Havanna Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Havanna Holding, and Havanna Holding fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Havanna Stock performance.

About Havanna Holding Performance

By analyzing Havanna Holding's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Havanna Holding's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Havanna Holding has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Havanna Holding has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Havanna Holding S.A. operates a chain of coffee shops in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Spain, the United States, Paraguay, Peru, Venezuela, and Ecuador. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. HAVANNA HOLDING is traded on Buenos-Aires Stock Exchange in Argentina.

Things to note about Havanna Holding SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Havanna Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Havanna Holding SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Havanna Holding SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Havanna Holding's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Havanna Holding's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Havanna Holding's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Havanna Holding's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Havanna Holding's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Havanna Holding's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Havanna Holding's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Havanna Holding's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Havanna Holding's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Havanna Holding's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Havanna Holding's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Havanna Stock analysis

When running Havanna Holding's price analysis, check to measure Havanna Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Havanna Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Havanna Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Havanna Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Havanna Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Havanna Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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