The Home Depot Stock Performance

HD Stock  USD 376.77  3.59  0.94%   
Home Depot has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.07, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Home Depot returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Home Depot is expected to follow. Home Depot right now retains a risk of 1.65%. Please check out Home Depot variance, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and day median price , to decide if Home Depot will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Home Depot are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Home Depot is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.60)
Five Day Return
(1.58)
Year To Date Return
9.99
Ten Year Return
212.87
All Time Return
1.1 M
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0238
Payout Ratio
0.6133
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
9.2
Dividend Date
2025-12-18
 
Home Depot dividend paid on 18th of December 2025
12/18/2025
1
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01/13/2026
2
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01/15/2026
3
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01/22/2026
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01/23/2026
6
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Begin Period Cash Flow3.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-21 B

Home Depot Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  37,711  in The Home Depot on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  325.00  from holding The Home Depot or generate 0.86% return on investment over 90 days. The Home Depot is generating 0.0278% of daily returns and assumes 1.6546% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 14% of stocks are less risky than Home on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Home Depot is expected to generate 1.94 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.19 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Home Depot Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Home Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 376.77 90 days 376.77 
about 16.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Home Depot to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.57 (This The Home Depot probability density function shows the probability of Home Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This usually indicates The Home Depot market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Home Depot is expected to follow. Additionally The Home Depot has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Home Depot Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Home Depot

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Home Depot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Home Depot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
378.80380.45382.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
349.46351.11418.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
386.08387.73389.39
Details
39 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
358.65394.12437.47
Details

Home Depot Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Home Depot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Home Depot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Home Depot, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Home Depot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
15.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Home Depot Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Home Depot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Home Depot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of December 2025 Home Depot paid $ 2.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Trading

Home Depot Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Home Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Home Depot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Home Depot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding993 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 B

Home Depot Fundamentals Growth

Home Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Home Depot, and Home Depot fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Home Stock performance.

About Home Depot Performance

By analyzing Home Depot's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Home Depot's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Home Depot has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Home Depot has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 72.54  61.34 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.20  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.29  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.14  0.10 
Return On Equity 2.01  2.11 

Things to note about Home Depot performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Home Depot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Home Depot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of December 2025 Home Depot paid $ 2.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Trading
Evaluating Home Depot's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Home Depot's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Home Depot's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Home Depot's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Home Depot's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Home Depot's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Home Depot's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Home Depot's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Home Depot's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Home Depot's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Home Depot's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Home Stock analysis

When running Home Depot's price analysis, check to measure Home Depot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home Depot is operating at the current time. Most of Home Depot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home Depot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home Depot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home Depot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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