Hennessy Japan Small Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HJSIX Fund  USD 20.22  0.06  0.30%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.53, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hennessy Japan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hennessy Japan is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hennessy Japan Small are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Hennessy Japan showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of February 2025
Expense Ratio1.1300
  

Hennessy Japan Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,667  in Hennessy Japan Small on October 27, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  355.00  from holding Hennessy Japan Small or generate 21.3% return on investment over 90 days. Hennessy Japan Small is currently producing 0.3326% returns and takes up 2.1235% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Hennessy, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hennessy Japan is expected to generate 2.9 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.9 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Hennessy Japan Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
20.22
Please note that Hennessy Japan's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Hennessy Japan Small retains a regular Real Value of $21.34 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $20.22. We determine the value of Hennessy Japan Small from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Hennessy Japan is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hennessy Mutual Fund. However, Hennessy Japan's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.22 Real  21.34 Hype  20.22 Naive  20.9
The intrinsic value of Hennessy Japan's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hennessy Japan's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
21.34
Real Value
23.46
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hennessy Japan Small helps investors to forecast how Hennessy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hennessy Japan more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hennessy Japan's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.7519.6020.46
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1020.2222.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.7820.9023.03
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Hennessy Japan Small extending back to June 16, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Hennessy Japan stands at 20.22, as last reported on the 25th of January, with the highest price reaching 20.22 and the lowest price hitting 20.22 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Hennessy Japan Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hennessy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.22 90 days 20.22 
about 6.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hennessy Japan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.68 (This Hennessy Japan Small probability density function shows the probability of Hennessy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hennessy Japan has a beta of 0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hennessy Japan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hennessy Japan Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hennessy Japan Small has an alpha of 0.2841, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hennessy Japan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hennessy Japan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hennessy Japan Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1020.2222.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2221.3423.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7820.9023.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.7519.6020.46
Details

Hennessy Japan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hennessy Japan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hennessy Japan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hennessy Japan Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hennessy Japan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Hennessy Japan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hennessy Japan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hennessy Japan Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Hennessy Japan Fundamentals Growth

Hennessy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hennessy Japan, and Hennessy Japan fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hennessy Mutual Fund performance.

About Hennessy Japan Performance

Evaluating Hennessy Japan's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hennessy Japan has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hennessy Japan has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of smaller Japanese companies, typically considered to be companies with market capitalizations in the bottom 20 percent of all publicly traded Japanese companies. The funds manager considers a Japanese company to be a company organized under the laws of Japan, for which the principal securities trading market is Japan, or that has a majority of its assets or business in Japan.

Things to note about Hennessy Japan Small performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hennessy Japan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Hennessy Japan Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Hennessy Japan's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hennessy Japan's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Hennessy Japan's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hennessy Japan's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hennessy Japan's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hennessy Japan's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hennessy Japan's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hennessy Japan's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Hennessy Japan's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hennessy Japan's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hennessy Japan's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Japan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Japan security.
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