Herc Holdings Stock Performance

HRI Stock  USD 173.12  1.57  0.90%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Herc Holdings holds a performance score of 13. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.43, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Herc Holdings will likely underperform. Please check Herc Holdings' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Herc Holdings' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Herc Holdings are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly conflicting basic indicators, Herc Holdings demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.90)
Five Day Return
(3.29)
Year To Date Return
13.63
Ten Year Return
609.8
All Time Return
267.09
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0162
Payout Ratio
0.5195
Last Split Factor
1:3
Forward Dividend Rate
2.8
Dividend Date
2026-03-04
 
Herc Holdings dividend paid on 26th of December 2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow71 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.5 B

Herc Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,761  in Herc Holdings on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,551  from holding Herc Holdings or generate 35.66% return on investment over 90 days. Herc Holdings is generating 0.545% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.2841% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Herc, and above 90% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Herc Holdings is expected to generate 4.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Herc Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Herc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 173.12 90 days 173.12 
about 8.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Herc Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.04 (This Herc Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Herc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.43 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Herc Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Herc Holdings has an alpha of 0.2204, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Herc Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Herc Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Herc Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.81177.52180.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.20159.48190.43
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
162.64178.73198.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.862.373.41
Details

Herc Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Herc Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Herc Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Herc Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Herc Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.43
σ
Overall volatility
15.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Herc Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Herc Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Herc Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Herc Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of December 2025 Herc Holdings paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Assessing Hertz Global Holdings Valuation After Recent Share Price Volatility

Herc Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Herc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Herc Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Herc Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments83 M

Herc Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Herc Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Herc Holdings, and Herc Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Herc Stock performance.

About Herc Holdings Performance

By evaluating Herc Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Herc Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Herc Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Herc Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 4.04  5.18 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.14 

Things to note about Herc Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Herc Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Herc Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Herc Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of December 2025 Herc Holdings paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Assessing Hertz Global Holdings Valuation After Recent Share Price Volatility
Evaluating Herc Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Herc Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Herc Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Herc Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Herc Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Herc Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Herc Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Herc Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Herc Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Herc Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Herc Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Herc Stock analysis

When running Herc Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Herc Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Herc Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Herc Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Herc Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Herc Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Herc Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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