Rational Defensive Growth Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| HSUAX Fund | USD 39.61 0.10 0.25% |
The fund holds a Beta of 0.82, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Rational Defensive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Rational Defensive is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Rational Defensive Growth has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Rational Defensive is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...more| Expense Ratio Date | 1st of May 2025 | |
| Expense Ratio | 1.4600 |
Rational |
Rational Defensive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,137 in Rational Defensive Growth on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (176.00) from holding Rational Defensive Growth or give up 4.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rational Defensive Growth is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.7677% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Rational, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Rational Defensive Current Valuation
Fairly Valued
Today
Please note that Rational Defensive's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Rational Defensive Growth holds a recent Real Value of $39.68 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $39.61. We determine the value of Rational Defensive Growth from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Rational Defensive is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rational Mutual Fund. However, Rational Defensive's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 39.61 | Real 39.68 | Hype 39.58 | Naive 39.35 |
The intrinsic value of Rational Defensive's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rational Defensive's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rational Defensive Growth helps investors to forecast how Rational mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rational Defensive more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rational Defensive's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Rational Defensive Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Rational Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 39.61 | 90 days | 39.61 | about 82.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rational Defensive to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.14 (This Rational Defensive Growth probability density function shows the probability of Rational Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Defensive has a beta of 0.82. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Rational Defensive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rational Defensive Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rational Defensive Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rational Defensive Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rational Defensive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rational Defensive Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rational Defensive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rational Defensive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rational Defensive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rational Defensive Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rational Defensive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Rational Defensive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rational Defensive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rational Defensive Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rational Defensive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 8.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Rational Defensive Fundamentals Growth
Rational Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rational Defensive, and Rational Defensive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rational Mutual Fund performance.
| Price To Earning | 20.92 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.59 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.47 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 15.32 M | ||||
About Rational Defensive Performance
Evaluating Rational Defensive's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rational Defensive has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rational Defensive has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund pursues its investment objective by investing primarily in the stocks of companies with the 25 to 50 most attractive and leading brands, from a fundamental and technical perspective, contained in the Alpha Brands Consumer Spending Index . The index tracks the performance of 200 highly recognizable and relevant U.S. and foreign brands with a business to consumer and business to business focus.Things to note about Rational Defensive Growth performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Defensive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Rational Defensive Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rational Defensive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 8.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
- Analyzing Rational Defensive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rational Defensive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Rational Defensive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Rational Defensive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rational Defensive's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rational Defensive's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Rational Defensive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund
Rational Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Defensive security.
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