Rational Defensive Growth Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HSUCX Fund  USD 32.81  0.15  0.46%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.99, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Rational Defensive returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Rational Defensive is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rational Defensive Growth are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Rational Defensive may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
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Expense Ratio2.2300
  

Rational Defensive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,947  in Rational Defensive Growth on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  334.00  from holding Rational Defensive Growth or generate 11.33% return on investment over 90 days. Rational Defensive Growth is currently producing 0.175% returns and takes up 0.9543% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Rational, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Defensive is expected to generate 1.23 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Rational Defensive Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
32.81
Please note that Rational Defensive's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Rational Defensive Growth holds a recent Real Value of $33.82 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $32.81. We determine the value of Rational Defensive Growth from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Rational Defensive is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rational Mutual Fund. However, Rational Defensive's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  32.81 Real  33.82 Hype  32.81 Naive  32.81
The intrinsic value of Rational Defensive's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rational Defensive's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
33.82
Real Value
34.77
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rational Defensive Growth helps investors to forecast how Rational mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rational Defensive more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rational Defensive's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.4132.1732.93
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.8632.8133.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
31.8532.8133.76
Details

Rational Defensive Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rational Defensive's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Rational Defensive Growth, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Rational Defensive's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1834

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Estimated Market Risk

 0.95
  actual daily
8
92% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.18
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.18
  actual daily
14
86% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Rational Defensive is performing at about 14% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Rational Defensive by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Rational Defensive Fundamentals Growth

Rational Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rational Defensive, and Rational Defensive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rational Mutual Fund performance.

About Rational Defensive Performance

Evaluating Rational Defensive's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rational Defensive has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rational Defensive has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund pursues its investment objective by investing primarily in the stocks of companies with the 25 to 50 most attractive and leading brands, from a fundamental and technical perspective, contained in the Alpha Brands Consumer Spending Index . The index tracks the performance of 200 highly recognizable and relevant U.S. and foreign brands with a business to consumer and business to business focus.

Things to note about Rational Defensive Growth performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Defensive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Rational Defensive Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Rational Defensive's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rational Defensive's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Rational Defensive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rational Defensive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rational Defensive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rational Defensive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rational Defensive's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rational Defensive's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Rational Defensive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rational Defensive's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rational Defensive's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund

Rational Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Defensive security.
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