International Business Machines Stock Performance

IBM Stock  USD 294.31  20.42  6.49%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.3, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, International Business will likely underperform. At this point, International Business has a negative expected return of -0.0701%. Please make sure to check out International Business' total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if International Business performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days International Business Machines has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental drivers, International Business is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(6.49)
Five Day Return
(7.41)
Year To Date Return
0.96
Ten Year Return
147.05
All Time Return
3.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0214
Payout Ratio
0.5808
Last Split Factor
1046:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
6.72
Dividend Date
2026-03-10
 
International Business dividend paid on 10th of December 2025
12/10/2025
1
Confluent Investor Alert Kahn Swick Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Confluent, Inc. - CFLT
01/16/2026
2
Assessing IBM Valuation After Recent Share Price Strength And Long Term Returns
01/20/2026
3
Unlocking Q4 Potential of IBM Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
01/23/2026
4
IBM surges as Q4 earnings, revenue beat expectations
01/28/2026
5
A Look At IBM Valuation After Earnings Beat And Upbeat 2026 Guidance
01/29/2026
6
Acquisition by David Farr of 1000 shares of International Business at 304.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
7
Jim Cramer Says IBMs the Rare AI Winner With a Fairly Low Price-to-Earnings Multiple
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow14.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-10.3 B

International Business Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  31,071  in International Business Machines on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,640) from holding International Business Machines or give up 5.28% of portfolio value over 90 days. International Business Machines is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.9459% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than International, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon International Business is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

International Business Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 294.31 90 days 294.31 
about 90.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Business to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.95 (This International Business Machines probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, International Business will likely underperform. Additionally International Business Machines has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   International Business Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for International Business

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Business. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
292.35294.31296.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
264.88298.03299.99
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
295.70324.95360.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.761.811.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as International Business. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against International Business' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, International Business' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in International Business.

International Business Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Business Machines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.30
σ
Overall volatility
6.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

International Business Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Business can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
International Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
International Business is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
International Business Machines has 119.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.67, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. International Business has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for International to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 64.0% of International Business shares are owned by institutional investors
On 10th of December 2025 International Business paid $ 1.68 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jim Cramer Says IBMs the Rare AI Winner With a Fairly Low Price-to-Earnings Multiple

International Business Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding948.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.4 B

International Business Fundamentals Growth

International Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of International Business, and International Business fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on International Stock performance.

About International Business Performance

By examining International Business' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into International Business' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that International Business is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 19.89  18.90 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.20  0.27 

Things to note about International Business performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about International Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for International Business help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
International Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
International Business is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
International Business Machines has 119.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.67, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. International Business has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for International to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 64.0% of International Business shares are owned by institutional investors
On 10th of December 2025 International Business paid $ 1.68 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jim Cramer Says IBMs the Rare AI Winner With a Fairly Low Price-to-Earnings Multiple
Evaluating International Business' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate International Business' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing International Business' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether International Business' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining International Business' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating International Business' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of International Business' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of International Business' stock. These opinions can provide insight into International Business' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating International Business' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact International Business' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether International Business is a strong investment it is important to analyze International Business' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact International Business' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding International Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in International Business Machines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Will IT Consulting & Other Services sector continue expanding? Could International diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Business. Market participants price International higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every International Business data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.9
Dividend Share
6.71
Earnings Share
11.14
Revenue Per Share
72.439
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.122
International Business's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on International's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate International Business' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since International Business' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.