Ingenia Communities Group Stock Performance

INGEF Stock  USD 2.98  0.31  9.42%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ingenia Communities are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ingenia Communities is likely to outperform the market. Ingenia Communities right now retains a risk of 3.89%. Please check out Ingenia Communities value at risk, and the relationship between the information ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Ingenia Communities will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ingenia Communities Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Ingenia Communities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
  

Ingenia Communities Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  311.00  in Ingenia Communities Group on November 14, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (13.00) from holding Ingenia Communities Group or give up 4.18% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ingenia Communities Group is currently producing 0.0042% returns and takes up 3.8941% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 34% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Ingenia, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ingenia Communities is expected to generate 19.36 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.94 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Ingenia Communities Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ingenia Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.98 90 days 2.98 
over 95.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ingenia Communities to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.47 (This Ingenia Communities Group probability density function shows the probability of Ingenia Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ingenia Communities Group has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ingenia Communities are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ingenia Communities Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ingenia Communities Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ingenia Communities Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ingenia Communities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ingenia Communities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ingenia Communities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.986.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.666.59
Details

Ingenia Communities Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ingenia Communities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ingenia Communities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ingenia Communities Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ingenia Communities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ingenia Communities Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ingenia Communities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ingenia Communities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ingenia Communities had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ingenia Communities Group has accumulated 495.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ingenia Communities has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ingenia Communities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ingenia Communities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ingenia Communities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ingenia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ingenia Communities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 13.0% of Ingenia Communities shares are held by company insiders

Ingenia Communities Fundamentals Growth

Ingenia Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ingenia Communities, and Ingenia Communities fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ingenia Pink Sheet performance.

About Ingenia Communities Performance

By analyzing Ingenia Communities' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ingenia Communities' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ingenia Communities has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ingenia Communities has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ingenia Communities is a leading Australian property group that owns, operates and develops a growing portfolio of lifestyle and holiday communities across key urban and coastal markets. The Group is supported by over 3,500 investors and has 700 employees dedicated to creating community for our residents and guests. Ingenia Communities is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Ingenia Communities performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ingenia Communities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Ingenia Communities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ingenia Communities had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ingenia Communities Group has accumulated 495.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ingenia Communities has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ingenia Communities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ingenia Communities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ingenia Communities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ingenia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ingenia Communities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 13.0% of Ingenia Communities shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Ingenia Communities' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ingenia Communities' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Ingenia Communities' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ingenia Communities' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ingenia Communities' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ingenia Communities' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ingenia Communities' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ingenia Communities' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Ingenia Communities' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ingenia Communities' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ingenia Communities' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Ingenia Communities' price analysis, check to measure Ingenia Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ingenia Communities is operating at the current time. Most of Ingenia Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ingenia Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ingenia Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ingenia Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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