Intrepid Potash Stock Performance

IPI Stock  USD 33.23  1.77  5.06%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Intrepid Potash holds a performance score of 10. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.63, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intrepid Potash will likely underperform. Please check Intrepid Potash's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Intrepid Potash's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intrepid Potash are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak basic indicators, Intrepid Potash demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(5.07)
Five Day Return
(2.84)
Year To Date Return
17.75
Ten Year Return
73.98
All Time Return
(93.41)
Last Split Factor
1:10
Dividend Date
2020-08-14
Ex Dividend Date
2012-12-13
Last Split Date
2020-08-14
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Begin Period Cash Flow4.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-29.5 M

Intrepid Potash Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,704  in Intrepid Potash on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  619.00  from holding Intrepid Potash or generate 22.89% return on investment over 90 days. Intrepid Potash is generating 0.3878% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.9834% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Intrepid, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intrepid Potash is expected to generate 3.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Intrepid Potash Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intrepid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.23 90 days 33.23 
roughly 2.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intrepid Potash to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.07 (This Intrepid Potash probability density function shows the probability of Intrepid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intrepid Potash will likely underperform. Additionally Intrepid Potash has an alpha of 0.2145, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intrepid Potash Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intrepid Potash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intrepid Potash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.2733.2336.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.5334.4837.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.1935.1638.12
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.8424.0026.64
Details

Intrepid Potash Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intrepid Potash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intrepid Potash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intrepid Potash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intrepid Potash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.63
σ
Overall volatility
2.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Intrepid Potash Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intrepid Potash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intrepid Potash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 254.69 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (212.84 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 50.55 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
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Intrepid Potash Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intrepid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intrepid Potash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intrepid Potash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments42.3 M

Intrepid Potash Fundamentals Growth

Intrepid Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intrepid Potash, and Intrepid Potash fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intrepid Stock performance.

About Intrepid Potash Performance

By evaluating Intrepid Potash's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Intrepid Potash's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Intrepid Potash has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Intrepid Potash has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 164.49  107.54 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.43)(0.40)
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.41)(0.39)
Return On Equity(0.52)(0.49)

Things to note about Intrepid Potash performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intrepid Potash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intrepid Potash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 254.69 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (212.84 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 50.55 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Top Fertilizer Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist January 26th
Evaluating Intrepid Potash's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intrepid Potash's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intrepid Potash's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intrepid Potash's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intrepid Potash's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intrepid Potash's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intrepid Potash's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intrepid Potash's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intrepid Potash's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intrepid Potash's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intrepid Potash's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Intrepid Stock analysis

When running Intrepid Potash's price analysis, check to measure Intrepid Potash's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intrepid Potash is operating at the current time. Most of Intrepid Potash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intrepid Potash's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intrepid Potash's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intrepid Potash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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