Federated International Small Mid Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ISCIX Fund  USD 52.66  0.29  0.55%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.58, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Federated International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated International is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federated International Small Mid are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Federated International showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date31st of January 2025
Expense Ratio0.9900
  

Federated International Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,593  in Federated International Small Mid on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  673.00  from holding Federated International Small Mid or generate 14.65% return on investment over 90 days. Federated International Small Mid is currently producing 0.2333% returns and takes up 1.0296% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 9% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Federated, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated International is expected to generate 1.38 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Federated International Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
52.66
Please note that Federated International's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Federated International shows a prevailing Real Value of $56.07 per share. The current price of the fund is $52.66. We determine the value of Federated International from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Federated International is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Federated Mutual Fund. However, Federated International's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  52.66 Real  56.07 Hype  52.66 Naive  51.36
The intrinsic value of Federated International's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Federated International's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
56.07
Real Value
57.10
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Federated International Small Mid helps investors to forecast how Federated mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Federated International more accurately as focusing exclusively on Federated International's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.2250.3054.39
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.6352.6653.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
50.3351.3652.39
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Federated International Small Mid extending back to March 31, 2008. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Federated International stands at 52.66, as last reported on the 27th of January, with the highest price reaching 52.66 and the lowest price hitting 52.66 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Federated International Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 52.66 90 days 52.66 
roughly 2.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.22 (This Federated International Small Mid probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated International has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Federated International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federated International Small Mid will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federated International Small Mid has an alpha of 0.1807, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Federated International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federated International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.6352.6653.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.3956.0757.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.3351.3652.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.2250.3054.39
Details

Federated International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated International Small Mid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
2.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Federated International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Federated International Fundamentals Growth

Federated Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federated International, and Federated International fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federated Mutual Fund performance.

About Federated International Performance

Evaluating Federated International's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Federated International has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federated International has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund pursues its investment objective of long-term growth of capital by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities issued by non-U.S. small- or mid-capitalization companies. For purposes of this limitation, small- or mid-capitalization companies will normally be defined as companies with market capitalizations similar to the constituents of the funds benchmark, the MSCI ACWI ex USA SMID Cap Index.

Things to note about Federated International performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Federated International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Federated International's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federated International's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Federated International's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federated International's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federated International's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federated International's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federated International's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federated International's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Federated International's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federated International's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federated International's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated International security.
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