Kao Corporation Stock Performance

KAOCF Stock  USD 36.96  0.00  0.00%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.96, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Kao returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kao is expected to follow. At this point, Kao Corporation has a negative expected return of -0.0314%. Please make sure to verify Kao's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Kao Corporation performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Kao Corporation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable fundamental indicators, Kao is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow353.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-67.2 B
Free Cash Flow104 B
  

Kao Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,993  in Kao Corporation on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (297.00) from holding Kao Corporation or give up 7.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Kao Corporation is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 4.3572% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 39% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Kao, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kao is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Kao Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Kao Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.96 90 days 36.96 
about 89.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kao to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.15 (This Kao Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Kao Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kao has a beta of 0.96. This indicates Kao Corporation market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kao is expected to follow. Additionally Kao Corporation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kao Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kao

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kao Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kao's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.6036.9641.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.1731.5340.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.0136.3640.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.1938.9843.76
Details

Kao Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kao Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Kao Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kao Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kao Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kao Corporation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Kao Fundamentals Growth

Kao Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kao, and Kao fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kao Pink Sheet performance.

About Kao Performance

By analyzing Kao's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Kao's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Kao has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Kao has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Kao Corporation develops and sells cosmetic, skinhair care, human health care, fabric and home care, and chemical products. Kao Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. KAO CORP operates under Household Personal Products classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 33507 people.

Things to note about Kao Corporation performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Kao Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kao Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kao Corporation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Kao's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kao's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Kao's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kao's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kao's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kao's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kao's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kao's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Kao's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kao's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kao's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Kao Pink Sheet analysis

When running Kao's price analysis, check to measure Kao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kao is operating at the current time. Most of Kao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum