Innovator Small Cap Etf Performance

KFEB Etf   29.07  0.16  0.55%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.81, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Innovator Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Innovator Small Cap are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, Innovator Small may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more
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Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/04/2025

Innovator Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,723  in Innovator Small Cap on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  184.00  from holding Innovator Small Cap or generate 6.76% return on investment over 90 days. Innovator Small Cap is currently generating 0.11% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.7479% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 6% of etfs are less volatile than Innovator, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Small is expected to generate 1.01 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Innovator Small Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.07 90 days 29.07 
roughly 2.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.01 (This Innovator Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Small has a beta of 0.81. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Innovator Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator Small Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator Small Cap has an alpha of 0.039, implying that it can generate a 0.039 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innovator Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovator Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.3329.0729.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.8327.5731.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.7929.5330.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.0628.2929.53
Details

Innovator Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

About Innovator Small Performance

By analyzing Innovator Small's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Innovator Small's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Innovator Small has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Innovator Small has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Innovator Small is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on BATS exchange.