Kopernik International Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

KGIIX Fund  USD 19.21  0.27  1.43%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.42, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kopernik International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kopernik International is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Kopernik International Fund are ranked lower than 23 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Kopernik International showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio1.0500
  

Kopernik International Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,447  in Kopernik International Fund on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  474.00  from holding Kopernik International Fund or generate 32.76% return on investment over 90 days. Kopernik International Fund is currently producing 0.4863% returns and takes up 1.6726% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 15% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Kopernik, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kopernik International is expected to generate 2.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Kopernik International Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
19.21
Please note that Kopernik International's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Kopernik International secures a last-minute Real Value of $18.58 per share. The latest price of the fund is $19.21. We determine the value of Kopernik International from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Kopernik International is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Kopernik Mutual Fund. However, Kopernik International's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  19.21 Real  18.58 Hype  19.21 Naive  19.41
The intrinsic value of Kopernik International's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Kopernik International's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.58
Real Value
20.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Kopernik International Fund helps investors to forecast how Kopernik mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Kopernik International more accurately as focusing exclusively on Kopernik International's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.6217.8619.10
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5419.2120.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.7419.4121.09
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Kopernik International Fund extending back to June 30, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Kopernik International stands at 19.21, as last reported on the 28th of January, with the highest price reaching 19.21 and the lowest price hitting 19.21 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Kopernik International Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Kopernik Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.21 90 days 19.21 
about 1.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kopernik International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.78 (This Kopernik International Fund probability density function shows the probability of Kopernik Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kopernik International has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kopernik International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kopernik International Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kopernik International Fund has an alpha of 0.423, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kopernik International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kopernik International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kopernik International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5419.2120.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9118.5820.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.7419.4121.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.6217.8619.10
Details

Kopernik International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kopernik International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kopernik International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kopernik International Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kopernik International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Kopernik International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kopernik International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kopernik International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 17.93% of its assets in cash

Kopernik International Fundamentals Growth

Kopernik Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kopernik International, and Kopernik International fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kopernik Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset692.03 M

About Kopernik International Performance

Evaluating Kopernik International's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Kopernik International has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Kopernik International has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund, under normal market conditions, will invest primarily in equity securities of companies located throughout the world. The equity securities in which the fund plans to invest include common and preferred stock, convertible securities, depositary receipts, and private placements. It generally follows a multi-capitalization approach that focuses on mid- to large-capitalization companies, but the fund may also invest in small capitalization companies.

Things to note about Kopernik International performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kopernik International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Kopernik International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 17.93% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Kopernik International's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kopernik International's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Kopernik International's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kopernik International's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kopernik International's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kopernik International's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kopernik International's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kopernik International's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Kopernik International's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kopernik International's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kopernik International's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Kopernik Mutual Fund

Kopernik International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kopernik Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kopernik with respect to the benefits of owning Kopernik International security.
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